Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 64

Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Prediction

Casper Ruud

Rank: #7
71%
VS

Nuno Borges

Rank: #40
29%
Expected Total Games: 35.0
Predicted Winner: Casper Ruud

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Ranking Trends

Casper Ruud

  • Current #7 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #5 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #6 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #8 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #7 2024-05-27

Nuno Borges

  • Current #40 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #38 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #33 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #34 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #47 2024-05-27

Player Metrics

Casper Ruud

Form Index: 69.1
ELO Rating: 3682.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1804.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 21.5
Clay: 32.7
Grass: 34.9
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 85.6

Nuno Borges

Form Index: 56.1
ELO Rating: 1287.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1601.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.8
Clay: 10.9
Grass: 10.8
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Casper Ruud
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

Nuno Borges
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Casper Ruud
vs
0
Nuno Borges
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at Roland Garros, Casper Ruud faces Nuno Borges on clay courts in France. With a predicted win probability of 70.93% for Ruud compared to 29.07% for Borges, the anticipated total number of games played is approximately 35.0, indicating a potentially competitive match.

Match Analysis

Casper Ruud, currently ranked 7th, boasts a robust form index of 69.07, an Elo rating of 3682.18, and a surface strength index of 32.67 tailored for clay. His mean serve index of 97.03 significantly exceeds Borges's 95.18, showcasing Ruud's superior serving capability. Additionally, his mean return index of 85.57 also reflects a solid edge over Borges's 87.29, although the difference here is less pronounced. Both players exhibit equal fatigue levels at 174 minutes, which may play a role in their performance. In their recent matches, Ruud has shown resilience despite a mixed bag of results. His last encounter at Roland Garros was a commanding 3-0 victory over Albert Ramos-Vinolas, while he faced a tough loss against Jannik Sinner in the prior round in Rome. Conversely, Nuno Borges has also been active in the tournament, winning his last match against Kyrian Jacquet after a competitive five-set battle. However, Borges struggled in the previous match against Sebastian Ofner, indicating inconsistency.

Final Prediction

Casper Ruud's higher rank, superior serve, and recent dominant performance position him as the favorite in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Ruud's ability to maintain his serve effectiveness, as it could be pivotal in dictating the tempo of the match.

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