Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Prediction

Raphael Collignon

Rank: #105
19%
VS

Casper Ruud

Rank: #12
81%
Predicted Games Played: 35.0
Predicted Winner: Casper Ruud

Player Metrics

Raphael Collignon

Form Index: 40.2
ELO Rating: 461.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1499.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.2
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 3.9
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 91.5

Casper Ruud

Form Index: 56.0
ELO Rating: 3237.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1787.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 20.0
Clay: 30.6
Grass: 35.0
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 85.6

Recent Matches

Raphael Collignon

  • Last Match: vs Daniel Elahi Galan (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Nishesh Basavareddy (0-2) hard Winston Salem 98 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Vit Kopriva (1-2) clay Umag 154 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (1-2) clay Bastad 129 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Marin Cilic (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Casper Ruud

  • Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (1-2) hard Cincinnati 157 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (0-2) hard Toronto 93 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (2-0) hard Toronto 102 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Roman Safiullin (2-0) hard Toronto 81 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Raphael Collignon
vs
0
Casper Ruud
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Raphael Collignon and Casper Ruud is set to take place during the Round of 64 at the 2025 US Open, held on hard courts in New York, USA. With a clear advantage in ranking and form, Casper Ruud is predicted to win this encounter, boasting an 81.05% probability of victory compared to Collignon's 18.95%. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 35.

Match Analysis

Casper Ruud ranks 12th in the world and holds a form index of 55.99, reflecting solid performance. His Elo rating stands at 3237.39, indicating a strong position in the professional circuit. Ruud also possesses a notable surface strength index of 20.02, showcasing his adaptability and skill on hard courts. In contrast, Raphael Collignon ranks 105th, with a form index of 40.24 and an Elo rating of 461.36, demonstrating a significant gap in experience and recent form. Both players share the same cumulative fatigue of 174 minutes, but Ruud's superior statistics suggest he can manage his energy more effectively. In their recent performances, Ruud has won his latest match against Sebastian Ofner in straight sets, while Collignon also secured a victory over Daniel Elahi Galan but has faced challenges in his prior matches. Notably, Collignon experienced two consecutive losses prior to this match, which may affect his confidence. Additionally, the difference in their mean serve index is marginal (Ruud at 95.45 and Collignon at 96.14), but Ruud's mean return index (85.62) is lower than Collignon's (91.49), indicating that Collignon may have the edge in return games.

Final Prediction

Casper Ruud's established ranking and superior recent form provide him with a distinct advantage over Raphael Collignon in this match. The key factor to monitor will be Ruud's ability to return Collignon's serves effectively, which could dictate the flow of the match and ultimately determine the outcome.