Daniil Medvedev vs Reilly Opelka Prediction

Daniil Medvedev, currently ranked 11, has a form index of 41.87 and an Elo rating of 3788.28, indicating a solid performance level. His cumulative fatigue stands at 125 minutes, suggesting he is relatively fresh compared to his opponent. Medvedev's surface strength on grass is notably higher at 42.99, which gives him an advantage on this surface. In contrast, Reilly Opelka is ranked 87 with a form index of 48.60 and an Elo rating of 835.68. However, Opelka's fatigue is significantly higher at 404 minutes, which could impact his performance. The difference in their mean serve indices is minimal (Medvedev at 96.60 versus Opelka at 97.22), but Medvedev boasts a considerably better mean return index (88.50 compared to Opelka's 84.02), which could be crucial in this matchup. Analyzing recent performances, Medvedev has won his last match against Adrian Mannarino in straight sets, signaling a strong return to form after a challenging period in previous tournaments. Opelka, on the other hand, has secured victories in his last two matches, showing resilience on grass, but he previously lost to Mark Lajal, indicating inconsistency. Medvedev’s recent win on grass and a more favorable matchup against Opelka's return capabilities may tilt the scales in his favor.