S Hertogenbosch Netherlands Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

Reilly Opelka vs Nicolas Jarry Prediction

Reilly Opelka

Rank: #87
50%
VS

Nicolas Jarry

Rank: #150
50%
Predicted Games Played: 25.0
Predicted Winner: Nicolas Jarry

Player Metrics

Reilly Opelka

Form Index: 44.6
ELO Rating: 804.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1642.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 325.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 3.6
Grass: 3.7
Serve Rating: 98.7
Return Rating: 83.9

Nicolas Jarry

Form Index: 31.3
ELO Rating: 1157.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1648.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 150.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.5
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 11.4
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 84.6

Recent Matches

Reilly Opelka

  • Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (2-1) grass S Hertogenbosch 163 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Mark Lajal (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 75 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Denis Yevseyev (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 87 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Rinky Hijikata (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Nicolas Jarry

  • Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (2-1) grass S Hertogenbosch 150 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Arthur Fils (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (1-2) clay Geneva 147 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) clay Rome 117 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Hugo Gaston (2-0) clay Rome 111 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Reilly Opelka
vs
0
Nicolas Jarry
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Reilly Opelka and Nicolas Jarry at the s-Hertogenbosch tournament marks an exciting encounter in the Round of 16 on grass, part of an ATP 250 event in the Netherlands. The predicted winner is Nicolas Jarry, who holds a slight edge with a 50.31% probability of victory compared to Opelka's 49.69%. The expected total number of games is approximately 25.

Match Analysis

Reilly Opelka, currently ranked 87th, has a form index of 44.56 and an Elo rating of 804.55. His cumulative fatigue stands at 325 minutes, indicating a challenging time on court in this tournament. Opelka's performance on grass is reflected in his surface strength index of 3.66, while his mean serve index is impressive at 98.68, suggesting a strong serving ability. In contrast, Nicolas Jarry, ranked 150th, has a lower form index of 31.35 but a higher Elo rating of 1157.87. His fatigue level is significantly lower at 150 minutes, which could favor his stamina as the match progresses. Jarry's surface strength index is considerably better at 11.37, and though his mean serve index of 96.26 is slightly lower than Opelka's, the difference is within acceptable limits. In their recent performances, Opelka won against Jesper de Jong in his last match but faced a defeat against Mark Lajal prior to that, highlighting inconsistency. Jarry, on the other hand, achieved a win over Luciano Darderi in his most recent outing, showing a better trend in form, despite losses at Roland Garros and Geneva earlier. Both players exhibit competitive return indices; Opelka's at 83.91, while Jarry's is at 84.61, indicating a narrow margin.

Final Prediction

Nicolas Jarry's advantage in cumulative fatigue and superior surface strength index gives him a slight edge going into this match. The key factor to observe will be Jarry's ability to handle Opelka's serve, particularly since both players possess strong serve capabilities. How effectively each player can capitalize on their serving opportunities may determine the match outcome.