Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 64

Jenson Brooksby vs Sebastian Korda Prediction

Jenson Brooksby

Rank: #166
37%
VS

Sebastian Korda

Rank: #23
63%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Sebastian Korda

Player Metrics

Jenson Brooksby

Form Index: 65.2
ELO Rating: 670.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1565.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.6
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 0.0
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 87.8

Sebastian Korda

Form Index: 58.6
ELO Rating: 1737.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1658.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.9
Clay: 15.6
Grass: 18.3
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 85.8

Recent Matches

Jenson Brooksby

  • Last Match: vs Jaime Faria (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (0-2) clay Geneva 75 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Radu Albot (2-1) clay Geneva 121 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (2-0) clay Houston 87 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (2-1) clay Houston 162 min

Sebastian Korda

  • Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (0-2) clay Rome 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-0) clay Rome 87 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (0-2) clay Madrid 70 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Federico Cina (2-1) clay Madrid 101 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jenson Brooksby
vs
0
Sebastian Korda
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the 2025 Roland Garros, Jenson Brooksby faces Sebastian Korda on clay, a surface that can significantly affect player performance. The prediction leans towards Sebastian Korda, who has a winning probability of 62.83% compared to Brooksby's 37.17%. The anticipated total number of games in this match is 37.

Match Analysis

Sebastian Korda currently ranks 23rd, showcasing a superior Elo rating of 1737.91 compared to Brooksby's 166th rank and Elo of 670.81. Korda's form index stands at 58.61, while Brooksby's is slightly higher at 65.21, indicating a recent uptick in Brooksby's performance despite his lower ranking. Both players have the same cumulative fatigue of 174 minutes; however, Korda demonstrates a significantly higher surface strength index of 15.58, suggesting he is well-suited to the clay courts of Roland Garros. Notably, Korda's mean serve index is slightly lower than Brooksby's by just 0.17, but given the overall context, he maintains a competitive edge. The mean return index shows Brooksby at 87.81 and Korda at 85.81, with the difference being marginal. In their last three matches, Brooksby has shown mixed results, winning against Jaime Faria but losing to Cameron Norrie. Korda, on the other hand, has also had ups and downs, securing victory against Luciano Darderi after a previous loss to Jaume Munar. Both players have demonstrated the ability to win matches in challenging conditions, but Korda's overall consistency and experience at higher-ranked competitions provide him with an advantage.

Final Prediction

Sebastian Korda's experience and higher ranking give him the edge in this matchup, particularly on clay, where he has performed well in the past. A key factor to monitor will be the effectiveness of both players' serves, as even a slight advantage in serving can sway the outcome in tightly contested games.