Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Sebastian Ofner vs Casper Ruud Prediction

Sebastian Ofner

Rank: #141
31%
VS

Casper Ruud

Rank: #13
69%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Casper Ruud

Player Metrics

Sebastian Ofner

Form Index: 16.3
ELO Rating: 945.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1616.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.3
Clay: 8.6
Grass: 7.3
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 84.8

Casper Ruud

Form Index: 37.9
ELO Rating: 3237.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1785.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 20.0
Clay: 30.6
Grass: 35.0
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 85.8

Recent Matches

Sebastian Ofner

  • Last Match: vs Vit Kopriva (1-2) hard Winston Salem 118 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Valentin Royer (1-2) hard Cincinnati 105 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (0-2) hard Toronto 115 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 64 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (0-2) clay Bastad 87 min

Casper Ruud

  • Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (1-2) hard Cincinnati 157 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (0-2) hard Toronto 93 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (2-0) hard Toronto 102 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Roman Safiullin (2-0) hard Toronto 81 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (1-2) clay Gstaad 129 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Sebastian Ofner
vs
1
Casper Ruud
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at the US Open will feature Sebastian Ofner and Casper Ruud in the Round of 128 on hard court. With a predicted winner of Casper Ruud, the probability of Ofner securing a victory stands at 31.49%, while Ruud has a solid 68.51% chance of winning. The expected total number of games played in this encounter is 36.

Match Analysis

Sebastian Ofner currently holds a ranking of 141, with a form index of 16.31 and an Elo rating of approximately 945.89. His fatigue level is at zero, indicating he has not accumulated any fatigue from prior matches in this tournament. Ofner's surface strength index of 5.32 reflects limited proficiency on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 97.13 and mean return index of 84.83 suggest he has a competitive serve but may struggle in return games. In contrast, Casper Ruud is ranked 13th with a much higher form index of 37.94 and an Elo rating of 3237.39. Ruud's surface strength index of 20.02 indicates he is significantly more adept on hard courts than Ofner. His mean serve index of 95.52 is quite close to Ofner's, but he edges out with a higher mean return index of 85.75, showcasing better capabilities in returning serves. In their recent performances, Ofner has faced challenges, losing his last three matches on hard courts, including a defeat against Vit Kopriva in Winston Salem, where he won just one set. Ruud, meanwhile, has also experienced setbacks, including a recent loss to Arthur Rinderknech in Cincinnati, but he managed to win against Nuno Borges in Toronto in his third most recent match, demonstrating moments of competitive form.

Final Prediction

Casper Ruud's higher ranking, better recent form, and overall statistics provide him with a clear edge over Sebastian Ofner in this matchup. A key factor to monitor will be Ruud's ability to capitalize on his superior return game, which could dictate the flow of the match and impact Ofner's chances of gaining momentum.