Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Quarterfinals

Andrey Rublev vs Taylor Fritz Prediction

Andrey Rublev

Rank: #10
48%
VS

Taylor Fritz

Rank: #4
52%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Taylor Fritz

Player Metrics

Andrey Rublev

Form Index: 56.6
ELO Rating: 1961.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1880.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 379.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.6
Clay: 22.0
Grass: 26.9
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 87.5

Taylor Fritz

Form Index: 64.9
ELO Rating: 4189.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1816.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 402.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 33.2
Clay: 37.4
Grass: 44.8
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 86.0

Recent Matches

Andrey Rublev

  • Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (2-1) hard Toronto 141 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-1) hard Toronto 152 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Hugo Gaston (2-0) hard Toronto 86 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Learner Tien (0-2) hard Washington 91 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (1-2) hard Los Cabos 148 min

Taylor Fritz

  • Last Match: vs Jiri Lehecka (2-1) hard Toronto 176 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (2-0) hard Toronto 75 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Roberto Carballes Baena (2-0) hard Toronto 151 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (1-2) hard Washington 184 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-0) hard Washington 101 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Andrey Rublev
vs
0
Taylor Fritz
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match at the Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto sees Andrey Rublev face off against Taylor Fritz on hard court. With a narrow edge in the predicted outcome, Taylor Fritz is favored to win with a probability of 51.95%, while Andrey Rublev has a 48.05% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is set at 24.0.

Match Analysis

Andrey Rublev, currently ranked 10th, holds a form index of 56.56 and an Elo rating of 1961.59. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 379 minutes, which may impact his performance. On the other hand, Taylor Fritz, ranked 4th, boasts a higher form index of 64.90 and an impressive Elo rating of 4189.77. Fritz's fatigue level is slightly higher at 402 minutes, but his surface strength index of 33.17 significantly surpasses Rublev's 15.55, suggesting he is more adept on hard courts. Additionally, the mean serve index between the two players is quite close, with Rublev at 97.84 and Fritz at 97.05, indicating a minimal difference, while their mean return indices show Rublev with 87.50 compared to Fritz's 86.03, maintaining a competitive edge in returns. In their recent matches, Rublev has won all of his last three encounters, showcasing resilience with a notable win against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in his last match. In contrast, Fritz has also secured victories in his last three outings, including a hard-fought match against Jiri Lehecka. Both players have demonstrated solid performance on this surface, but Fritz's stronger all-around statistics, particularly in fatigue management and surface strength, provide him with a slight advantage.

Final Prediction

Taylor Fritz's superior surface strength index and higher form index give him an edge going into this match against Rublev. A key factor to watch will be how both players cope with fatigue, especially given their similar cumulative minutes on court, as it may influence their stamina and performance during crucial points.