Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Quarterfinals

Zizou Bergs vs Novak Djokovic Prediction

Zizou Bergs

Rank: #44
31%
VS

Novak Djokovic

Rank: #5
69%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Novak Djokovic

Player Metrics

Zizou Bergs

Form Index: 57.1
ELO Rating: 1126.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1598.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 523.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.3
Clay: 7.2
Grass: 6.3
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 88.1

Novak Djokovic

Form Index: 74.6
ELO Rating: 3511.9
Glicko2 Rating: 2548.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 437.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.3
Clay: 31.2
Grass: 33.5
Serve Rating: 95.0
Return Rating: 87.1

Recent Matches

Zizou Bergs

  • Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (2-1) hard Shanghai 168 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (2-0) hard Shanghai 130 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (2-1) hard Shanghai 128 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (2-0) hard Shanghai 97 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) hard Tokio 79 min

Novak Djokovic

  • Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-1) hard Shanghai 161 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Yannick Hanfmann (2-1) hard Shanghai 162 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Marin Cilic (2-0) hard Shanghai 114 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Zizou Bergs
vs
0
Novak Djokovic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match between Zizou Bergs and Novak Djokovic at the Shanghai Masters 1000 promises to be a compelling encounter on hard court. Djokovic, currently ranked 5th, is favored to win with a probability of 69.27%, while Bergs, ranked 44th, has a probability of 30.73%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 23.

Match Analysis

Zizou Bergs comes into this match with a form index of 57.11 and an Elo rating of 1126.53. His cumulative fatigue is at 523 minutes, which may affect his performance. On the other hand, Novak Djokovic boasts a significantly higher Elo rating of 3511.89 and a form index of 74.58, indicating a more consistent level of play. Djokovic also has lower cumulative fatigue at 437 minutes and a superior surface strength index of 31.26 compared to Bergs’ 10.30. The difference in their mean serve index is notable, with Bergs at 97.34 and Djokovic at 94.98, making Bergs’ serve a potential weapon. However, Djokovic's mean return index of 87.15, compared to Bergs’ 88.09, indicates that both players have strong return games. In their recent performances, Bergs has won all three of his last matches, showcasing resilience and form. His victory over Gabriel Diallo in the last match was a tough 2-1 set win, while he had a more straightforward win against Francisco Cerundolo. Djokovic, too, has shown his prowess, winning his last three matches, although facing slightly tougher competition, including Jaume Munar and Yannick Hanfmann, both of whom managed to take a set from him.

Final Prediction

Novak Djokovic's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and recent form give him a clear advantage in this matchup. The key factor to watch will be how Bergs manages to handle Djokovic's experience and tactical play, especially considering the pressure of the quarterfinal stage in a Masters 1000 event.