Amiens
Ligue 2 · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #18 of 18 in Ligue 2 24 pts · 6W–6D–22L · GD -28
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Ligue 2 simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Amiens?
On script 2025-26 · 29 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Amiens's results were 16.6% easier to call than the Ligue 2 average. How this is measured.
| Market | Amiens | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 69.0% | 41.5% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 48.3% | 51.9% |
| Both teams to score | 51.7% | 47.7% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Ligue 2 | #18 | 1498 | 1532 | 1297 |
| 2024-25 | Ligue 2 | #13 | 1552 | 1577 | 1472 |
| 2023-24 | Ligue 2 | #7 | 1442 | 1552 | 1552 |
| 2022-23 | Ligue 2 | #17 | 1470 | 1582 | 1398 |
| 2021-22 | Ligue 2 | #13 | 1450 | 1544 | 1476 |
| 2020-21 | Ligue 2 | #14 | 1516 | 1558 | 1462 |
| 2019-20 | Ligue 1 | #19 | 1482 | 1514 | 1378 |
| 2018-19 | Ligue 1 | #14 | 1480 | 1485 | 1431 |
| 2017-18 | Ligue 1 | #10 | 1480 | 1523 | 1484 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 09, 2026 | at Saint-Étienne | L Amiens 7.2% · draw 12.7% | L ✓ |
| May 02, 2026 | vs Red Star | L Amiens 26.6% · draw 25.8% | L ✓ |
| Apr 24, 2026 | vs Montpellier | L Amiens 26.1% · draw 26.8% | L ✓ |
| Apr 17, 2026 | at Rodez | L Amiens 23.1% · draw 25.5% | L ✓ |
| Apr 10, 2026 | vs Pau FC | L Amiens 32.6% · draw 28.9% | L ✓ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | at Bastia | L Amiens 17.8% · draw 24.3% | D ✗ |
| Mar 20, 2026 | vs Le Mans | L Amiens 26.6% · draw 26.0% | L ✓ |
| Mar 13, 2026 | at Guingamp | L Amiens 12.8% · draw 20.0% | L ✓ |
| Mar 06, 2026 | at Boulogne | L Amiens 21.4% · draw 28.2% | L ✓ |
| Mar 02, 2026 | vs Troyes | L Amiens 24.0% · draw 24.6% | L ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Ligue 2 title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/amiens">Ligue 2 title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
<iframe src="https://www.predixsport.com/embed/title-odds/ligue_2"
width="360" height="430" style="border:0;border-radius:10px" loading="lazy"
title="Ligue 2 title odds & club ELO ratings — Predixsport"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/amiens">Ligue 2 title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>