Rodez
Ligue 2 · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #4 of 18 in Ligue 2 58 pts · 15W–13D–6L · GD +6
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Ligue 2 simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Rodez?
Chaos club 2025-26 · 29 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Rodez's results were 15.3% harder to call than the Ligue 2 average. How this is measured.
| Market | Rodez | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 17.2% | 41.5% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 44.8% | 51.9% |
| Both teams to score | 41.4% | 47.7% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Ligue 2 | #1 | 1498 | 1661 | 1661 |
| 2024-25 | Ligue 2 | #12 | 1545 | 1563 | 1500 |
| 2023-24 | Ligue 2 | #5 | 1519 | 1621 | 1593 |
| 2022-23 | Ligue 2 | #9 | 1483 | 1519 | 1516 |
| 2021-22 | Ligue 2 | #11 | 1466 | 1550 | 1479 |
| 2020-21 | Ligue 2 | #10 | 1481 | 1551 | 1494 |
| 2019-20 | Ligue 2 | #16 | 1515 | 1536 | 1453 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 09, 2026 | at Annecy | L Rodez 22.3% · draw 30.2% | W ✗ |
| May 02, 2026 | vs Saint-Étienne | L Rodez 31.1% · draw 30.4% | W ✗ |
| Apr 24, 2026 | at Laval | W Rodez 36.5% · draw 30.5% | D ✗ |
| Apr 17, 2026 | vs Amiens | W Rodez 51.4% · draw 25.5% | W ✓ |
| Apr 13, 2026 | vs Troyes | L Rodez 29.5% · draw 29.3% | W ✗ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | at Dunkerque | L Rodez 28.7% · draw 30.9% | D ✗ |
| Mar 20, 2026 | vs Bastia | W Rodez 39.5% · draw 30.0% | D ✗ |
| Mar 14, 2026 | at Reims | L Rodez 9.9% · draw 20.3% | W ✗ |
| Mar 06, 2026 | vs Grenoble | W Rodez 43.4% · draw 29.9% | W ✓ |
| Feb 28, 2026 | at Guingamp | L Rodez 17.4% · draw 25.1% | D ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Ligue 2 title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/rodez">Ligue 2 title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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