Braunschweig
2. Bundesliga · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #11 of 18 41.7 expected pts · currently 7 pts after 7 matches
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.
Full 2. Bundesliga simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #15 of 18 in 2. Bundesliga 37 pts · 10W-7D-17L · GD -18
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full 2. Bundesliga simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Braunschweig?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 29 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Braunschweig's results were 6.2% easier to call than the 2. Bundesliga average. How this is measured.
| Market | Braunschweig | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 48.3% | 47.9% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 44.8% | 53.6% |
| Both teams to score | 62.1% | 61.3% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 2. Bundesliga | #16 | 1514 | 1514 | 1444 |
| 2025-26 | 2. Bundesliga | #16 | 1529 | 1546 | 1459 |
| 2024-25 | 2. Bundesliga | #14 | 1450 | 1518 | 1463 |
| 2023-24 | 2. Bundesliga | #12 | 1409 | 1507 | 1460 |
| 2022-23 | 2. Bundesliga | #16 | 1380 | 1498 | 1415 |
| 2020-21 | 2. Bundesliga | #18 | 1432 | 1454 | 1368 |
| 2017-18 | 2. Bundesliga | #18 | 1502 | 1534 | 1430 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | vs Holstein Kiel | L Braunschweig 33.0% · draw 29.8% | W ✗ |
| Sep 19, 2026 | at Kaiserslautern | L Braunschweig 27.4% · draw 29.8% | L ✓ |
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
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