Hannover
2. Bundesliga · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #4 of 18 in 2. Bundesliga 60 pts · 16W–12D–6L · GD +16
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full 2. Bundesliga simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Hannover?
Chaos club 2025-26 · 29 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Hannover's results were 11.8% harder to call than the 2. Bundesliga average. How this is measured.
| Market | Hannover | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 34.5% | 47.9% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 55.2% | 53.6% |
| Both teams to score | 65.5% | 61.3% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 2. Bundesliga | #2 | 1518 | 1628 | 1608 |
| 2024-25 | 2. Bundesliga | #7 | 1566 | 1608 | 1544 |
| 2023-24 | 2. Bundesliga | #6 | 1474 | 1595 | 1570 |
| 2022-23 | 2. Bundesliga | #13 | 1466 | 1571 | 1469 |
| 2021-22 | 2. Bundesliga | #13 | 1453 | 1524 | 1479 |
| 2020-21 | 2. Bundesliga | #13 | 1563 | 1563 | 1436 |
| 2019-20 | 2. Bundesliga | #4 | 1482 | 1573 | 1560 |
| 2018-19 | Bundesliga | #17 | 1502 | 1502 | 1320 |
| 2017-18 | Bundesliga | #14 | 1529 | 1564 | 1429 |
| 2015-16 | Bundesliga | #18 | 1502 | 1502 | 1356 |
| 2014-15 | Bundesliga | #15 | 1518 | 1536 | 1433 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | vs Nurnberg | W Hannover 55.3% · draw 25.6% | D ✗ |
| May 09, 2026 | at Bochum | W Hannover 36.9% · draw 30.8% | D ✗ |
| May 03, 2026 | vs Preußen Münster | W Hannover 69.2% · draw 18.0% | D ✗ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | at Karlsruhe | W Hannover 46.3% · draw 27.1% | W ✓ |
| Apr 18, 2026 | vs Paderborn | W Hannover 41.5% · draw 29.7% | D ✗ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | at Darmstadt | W Hannover 37.3% · draw 30.1% | W ✓ |
| Apr 05, 2026 | vs Elversberg | W Hannover 38.0% · draw 30.2% | D ✗ |
| Mar 20, 2026 | vs Braunschweig | W Hannover 67.5% · draw 19.7% | W ✓ |
| Mar 15, 2026 | at Schalke 04 | L Hannover 27.7% · draw 30.8% | D ✗ |
| Mar 08, 2026 | vs Greuther Furth | W Hannover 71.7% · draw 17.4% | L ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The 2. Bundesliga title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/hannover">2. Bundesliga title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
<iframe src="https://www.predixsport.com/embed/title-odds/bundesliga_2"
width="360" height="430" style="border:0;border-radius:10px" loading="lazy"
title="2. Bundesliga title odds & club ELO ratings — Predixsport"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/hannover">2. Bundesliga title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>