Cultural Leonesa
Segunda División · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #21 of 22 in Segunda División 37 pts · 9W–10D–23L · GD -29
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Segunda División simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Cultural Leonesa?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 37 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Cultural Leonesa's results were 2.3% harder to call than the Segunda División average. How this is measured.
| Market | Cultural Leonesa | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 51.3% | 50.1% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 59.5% | 58.0% |
| Both teams to score | 54.0% | 56.0% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Segunda División | #19 | 1477 | 1516 | 1357 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | at Sociedad B | L Cultural Leonesa 30.4% · draw 30.9% | D ✗ |
| May 24, 2026 | vs Burgos | L Cultural Leonesa 32.8% · draw 31.0% | L ✓ |
| May 16, 2026 | vs Eibar | L Cultural Leonesa 30.6% · draw 28.9% | W ✗ |
| May 09, 2026 | at Albacete | L Cultural Leonesa 28.1% · draw 29.1% | L ✓ |
| May 02, 2026 | vs Cadiz | W Cultural Leonesa 38.6% · draw 30.9% | D ✗ |
| Apr 26, 2026 | at Mirandes | L Cultural Leonesa 32.7% · draw 30.6% | L ✓ |
| Apr 18, 2026 | vs Cordoba | L Cultural Leonesa 28.3% · draw 28.5% | L ✓ |
| Apr 12, 2026 | at Granada | L Cultural Leonesa 21.3% · draw 28.2% | L ✓ |
| Apr 04, 2026 | vs Valladolid | L Cultural Leonesa 30.5% · draw 29.7% | W ✗ |
| Apr 01, 2026 | at Huesca | L Cultural Leonesa 29.9% · draw 30.1% | D ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/cultural-leonesa">Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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