Sociedad B
Segunda División · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
How predictable is Sociedad B?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 37 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Sociedad B's results were 2.9% easier to call than the Segunda División average. How this is measured.
| Market | Sociedad B | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 51.3% | 50.1% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 62.2% | 58.0% |
| Both teams to score | 51.3% | 56.0% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Segunda División | #14 | 1518 | 1560 | 1431 |
| 2021-22 | Segunda División | #21 | 1526 | 1527 | 1416 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | vs Cultural Leonesa | W Sociedad B 38.7% · draw 30.9% | D ✗ |
| May 24, 2026 | at Albacete | L Sociedad B 30.1% · draw 29.9% | L ✓ |
| May 16, 2026 | vs Mirandes | W Sociedad B 38.6% · draw 30.7% | D ✗ |
| May 11, 2026 | at Huesca | L Sociedad B 31.5% · draw 31.2% | W ✗ |
| May 03, 2026 | vs Burgos | L Sociedad B 31.8% · draw 31.1% | D ✗ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | at Valladolid | L Sociedad B 12.0% · draw 20.1% | L ✓ |
| Apr 17, 2026 | vs Santander | L Sociedad B 28.8% · draw 26.9% | L ✓ |
| Apr 10, 2026 | at Ceuta | L Sociedad B 21.7% · draw 25.0% | D ✗ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | at Sp Gijon | L Sociedad B 20.2% · draw 26.1% | L ✓ |
| Apr 02, 2026 | vs Eibar | L Sociedad B 31.0% · draw 29.4% | L ✓ |
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