Sociedad B
Segunda División · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #19 of 22 46.4 expected pts · currently 8 pts after 9 matches
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.
Full Segunda División simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Sociedad B?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 37 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Sociedad B's results were 2.9% easier to call than the Segunda División average. How this is measured.
| Market | Sociedad B | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 51.3% | 50.1% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 62.2% | 58.0% |
| Both teams to score | 51.3% | 56.0% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Segunda División | #20 | 1436 | 1512 | 1416 |
| 2025-26 | Segunda División | #14 | 1518 | 1560 | 1431 |
| 2021-22 | Segunda División | #21 | 1526 | 1527 | 1416 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches: model vs reality
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
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