Sociedad B

Segunda División · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1431 · #14 Segunda División In line Updated May 31, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

How predictable is Sociedad B?

In line with the league 2025-26 · 37 predicted matches · backtest

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Sociedad B's results were 2.9% easier to call than the Segunda División average. How this is measured.

MarketSociedad BLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 51.3% 50.1%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 62.2% 58.0%
Both teams to score 51.3% 56.0%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2025-26 Segunda División #14 1518 1560 1431
2021-22 Segunda División #21 1526 1527 1416

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches — model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
May 30, 2026 vs Cultural Leonesa W Sociedad B 38.7% · draw 30.9% D
May 24, 2026 at Albacete L Sociedad B 30.1% · draw 29.9% L
May 16, 2026 vs Mirandes W Sociedad B 38.6% · draw 30.7% D
May 11, 2026 at Huesca L Sociedad B 31.5% · draw 31.2% W
May 03, 2026 vs Burgos L Sociedad B 31.8% · draw 31.1% D
Apr 25, 2026 at Valladolid L Sociedad B 12.0% · draw 20.1% L
Apr 17, 2026 vs Santander L Sociedad B 28.8% · draw 26.9% L
Apr 10, 2026 at Ceuta L Sociedad B 21.7% · draw 25.0% D
Apr 06, 2026 at Sp Gijon L Sociedad B 20.2% · draw 26.1% L
Apr 02, 2026 vs Eibar L Sociedad B 31.0% · draw 29.4% L

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