Granada

Segunda División · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1528 · #10 Segunda División 2W-1D-0L · 7 pts In line Updated Aug 31, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #7 of 22 61.6 expected pts · currently 7 pts after 3 matches

League title 7.2%
Promotion 20.9%
Automatic promotion 14.1%
Promotion playoffs 29.1%
Relegation 3.9%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.

Full Segunda División simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Granada?

In line with the league 2025-26 · 37 predicted matches · backtest

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Granada's results were 1.5% easier to call than the Segunda División average. How this is measured.

MarketGranadaLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 48.6% 50.1%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 64.9% 58.0%
Both teams to score 54.0% 56.0%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2026-27 Segunda División #10 1455 1528 1528
2025-26 Segunda División #16 1467 1563 1419
2024-25 Segunda División #7 1570 1613 1546
2023-24 La Liga #20 1480 1480 1310
2022-23 Segunda División #1 1634 1668 1631
2021-22 La Liga #17 1502 1510 1418
2020-21 La Liga #16 1520 1561 1419
2019-20 La Liga #6 1502 1577 1540
2018-19 Segunda División #2 1481 1643 1643
2017-18 Segunda División #14 1498 1588 1472
2016-17 La Liga #20 1498 1498 1262
2015-16 La Liga #10 1467 1497 1472
2014-15 La Liga #13 1518 1542 1440

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches: model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
May 30, 2026 vs Sp Gijon W Granada 40.8% · draw 30.5% L ✗
May 24, 2026 at Mirandes L Granada 33.8% · draw 30.4% L ✓
May 16, 2026 vs Burgos W Granada 35.4% · draw 31.9% L ✗
May 10, 2026 at Cordoba L Granada 27.8% · draw 28.6% L ✓
May 01, 2026 at Zaragoza L Granada 29.8% · draw 30.5% W ✗
Apr 26, 2026 vs Almeria L Granada 34.7% · draw 29.8% L ✓
Apr 19, 2026 at Albacete L Granada 32.6% · draw 31.9% L ✓
Apr 12, 2026 vs Cultural Leonesa W Granada 50.5% · draw 28.2% W ✓
Apr 06, 2026 at Castellon L Granada 15.5% · draw 23.7% L ✓
Apr 02, 2026 at Las Palmas L Granada 18.9% · draw 25.9% L ✓

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/granada">Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)

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