Granada
Segunda División · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #14 of 22 in Segunda División 48 pts · 12W–12D–18L · GD -6
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Segunda División simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Granada?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 37 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Granada's results were 1.5% easier to call than the Segunda División average. How this is measured.
| Market | Granada | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 48.6% | 50.1% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 64.9% | 58.0% |
| Both teams to score | 54.0% | 56.0% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Segunda División | #16 | 1467 | 1563 | 1419 |
| 2024-25 | Segunda División | #7 | 1570 | 1613 | 1546 |
| 2023-24 | La Liga | #20 | 1480 | 1480 | 1310 |
| 2022-23 | Segunda División | #1 | 1634 | 1668 | 1631 |
| 2021-22 | La Liga | #17 | 1502 | 1510 | 1418 |
| 2020-21 | La Liga | #16 | 1520 | 1561 | 1419 |
| 2019-20 | La Liga | #6 | 1502 | 1577 | 1540 |
| 2018-19 | Segunda División | #2 | 1481 | 1643 | 1643 |
| 2017-18 | Segunda División | #14 | 1498 | 1588 | 1472 |
| 2016-17 | La Liga | #20 | 1498 | 1498 | 1262 |
| 2015-16 | La Liga | #10 | 1467 | 1497 | 1472 |
| 2014-15 | La Liga | #13 | 1518 | 1542 | 1440 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | vs Sp Gijon | W Granada 40.8% · draw 30.5% | L ✗ |
| May 24, 2026 | at Mirandes | L Granada 33.8% · draw 30.4% | L ✓ |
| May 16, 2026 | vs Burgos | W Granada 35.4% · draw 31.9% | L ✗ |
| May 10, 2026 | at Cordoba | L Granada 27.8% · draw 28.6% | L ✓ |
| May 01, 2026 | at Zaragoza | L Granada 29.8% · draw 30.5% | W ✗ |
| Apr 26, 2026 | vs Almeria | L Granada 34.7% · draw 29.8% | L ✓ |
| Apr 19, 2026 | at Albacete | L Granada 32.6% · draw 31.9% | L ✓ |
| Apr 12, 2026 | vs Cultural Leonesa | W Granada 50.5% · draw 28.2% | W ✓ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | at Castellon | L Granada 15.5% · draw 23.7% | L ✓ |
| Apr 02, 2026 | at Las Palmas | L Granada 18.9% · draw 25.9% | L ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/granada">Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
<iframe src="https://www.predixsport.com/embed/title-odds/segunda_division"
width="360" height="430" style="border:0;border-radius:10px" loading="lazy"
title="Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings — Predixsport"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/granada">Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>