Cadiz
Segunda División · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #18 of 22 in Segunda División 43 pts · 11W–10D–21L · GD -20
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Segunda División simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Cadiz?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 37 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Cadiz's results were 3.3% harder to call than the Segunda División average. How this is measured.
| Market | Cadiz | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 51.3% | 50.1% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 51.3% | 58.0% |
| Both teams to score | 51.3% | 56.0% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Segunda División | #22 | 1518 | 1579 | 1342 |
| 2024-25 | Segunda División | #10 | 1459 | 1581 | 1506 |
| 2023-24 | La Liga | #15 | 1518 | 1518 | 1403 |
| 2022-23 | La Liga | #13 | 1471 | 1499 | 1461 |
| 2021-22 | La Liga | #10 | 1498 | 1500 | 1492 |
| 2020-21 | La Liga | #13 | 1467 | 1563 | 1431 |
| 2019-20 | Segunda División | #17 | 1556 | 1684 | 1492 |
| 2018-19 | Segunda División | #7 | 1524 | 1622 | 1548 |
| 2017-18 | Segunda División | #9 | 1529 | 1637 | 1512 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | at Santander | L Cadiz 8.1% · draw 14.2% | L ✓ |
| May 24, 2026 | vs Leganes | L Cadiz 32.9% · draw 30.9% | W ✗ |
| May 15, 2026 | at Castellon | L Cadiz 6.5% · draw 12.0% | D ✗ |
| May 08, 2026 | vs La Coruna | L Cadiz 26.1% · draw 26.3% | L ✓ |
| May 02, 2026 | at Cultural Leonesa | L Cadiz 30.6% · draw 30.9% | D ✗ |
| Apr 27, 2026 | vs Las Palmas | L Cadiz 26.5% · draw 26.5% | L ✓ |
| Apr 19, 2026 | at Sp Gijon | L Cadiz 20.2% · draw 25.1% | L ✓ |
| Apr 12, 2026 | vs Andorra | L Cadiz 32.5% · draw 29.4% | L ✓ |
| Apr 04, 2026 | vs Cordoba | L Cadiz 30.5% · draw 27.7% | L ✓ |
| Mar 31, 2026 | at Valladolid | L Cadiz 18.9% · draw 25.9% | L ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/cadiz">Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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