Mirandes
Segunda División · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #19 of 22 in Segunda División 40 pts · 10W–10D–22L · GD -22
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Segunda División simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Mirandes?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 37 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Mirandes's results were 5.0% easier to call than the Segunda División average. How this is measured.
| Market | Mirandes | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 56.8% | 50.1% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 62.2% | 58.0% |
| Both teams to score | 70.3% | 56.0% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Segunda División | #15 | 1482 | 1516 | 1420 |
| 2024-25 | Segunda División | #4 | 1499 | 1626 | 1617 |
| 2023-24 | Segunda División | #15 | 1514 | 1535 | 1485 |
| 2022-23 | Segunda División | #12 | 1499 | 1569 | 1494 |
| 2021-22 | Segunda División | #12 | 1462 | 1549 | 1504 |
| 2020-21 | Segunda División | #19 | 1511 | 1571 | 1449 |
| 2019-20 | Segunda División | #14 | 1505 | 1599 | 1517 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | at Leganes | L Mirandes 27.1% · draw 28.9% | L ✓ |
| May 24, 2026 | vs Granada | W Mirandes 35.8% · draw 30.4% | W ✓ |
| May 16, 2026 | at Sociedad B | L Mirandes 30.7% · draw 30.7% | D ✗ |
| May 10, 2026 | vs Eibar | L Mirandes 29.9% · draw 28.2% | L ✓ |
| May 04, 2026 | at Almeria | L Mirandes 11.5% · draw 17.6% | L ✓ |
| Apr 26, 2026 | vs Cultural Leonesa | W Mirandes 36.7% · draw 30.6% | W ✓ |
| Apr 20, 2026 | at La Coruna | L Mirandes 7.5% · draw 15.1% | L ✓ |
| Apr 12, 2026 | vs Castellon | L Mirandes 24.4% · draw 25.9% | D ✗ |
| Apr 05, 2026 | at Zaragoza | L Mirandes 24.0% · draw 28.2% | W ✗ |
| Mar 31, 2026 | vs Albacete | L Mirandes 34.1% · draw 30.9% | D ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/mirandes">Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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