Huesca
Segunda División · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #20 of 22 in Segunda División 38 pts · 9W–11D–22L · GD -22
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Segunda División simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Huesca?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 37 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Huesca's results were 6.3% easier to call than the Segunda División average. How this is measured.
| Market | Huesca | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 62.2% | 50.1% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 56.8% | 58.0% |
| Both teams to score | 46.0% | 56.0% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Segunda División | #20 | 1498 | 1543 | 1356 |
| 2024-25 | Segunda División | #13 | 1534 | 1631 | 1491 |
| 2023-24 | Segunda División | #10 | 1478 | 1562 | 1513 |
| 2022-23 | Segunda División | #15 | 1505 | 1554 | 1472 |
| 2021-22 | Segunda División | #13 | 1582 | 1596 | 1504 |
| 2020-21 | La Liga | #15 | 1502 | 1502 | 1423 |
| 2019-20 | Segunda División | #1 | 1569 | 1594 | 1584 |
| 2018-19 | La Liga | #18 | 1529 | 1531 | 1423 |
| 2017-18 | Segunda División | #5 | 1482 | 1671 | 1558 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | at Cordoba | L Huesca 15.3% · draw 20.6% | D ✗ |
| May 24, 2026 | vs Castellon | L Huesca 22.7% · draw 24.5% | L ✓ |
| May 18, 2026 | at Leganes | L Huesca 21.6% · draw 26.4% | D ✗ |
| May 11, 2026 | vs Sociedad B | W Huesca 37.3% · draw 31.2% | L ✗ |
| May 03, 2026 | at Santander | L Huesca 13.6% · draw 18.0% | L ✓ |
| Apr 26, 2026 | vs Zaragoza | W Huesca 34.4% · draw 31.3% | W ✓ |
| Apr 19, 2026 | at Eibar | L Huesca 12.0% · draw 19.3% | L ✓ |
| Apr 12, 2026 | vs La Coruna | L Huesca 27.6% · draw 27.9% | D ✗ |
| Apr 05, 2026 | at Las Palmas | L Huesca 11.2% · draw 17.8% | L ✓ |
| Apr 01, 2026 | vs Cultural Leonesa | W Huesca 40.0% · draw 30.1% | D ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
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