La Coruna
Segunda División · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #2 of 22 in Segunda División 77 pts · 22W–11D–9L · GD +21
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Segunda División simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is La Coruna?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 37 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, La Coruna's results were 3.8% easier to call than the Segunda División average. How this is measured.
| Market | La Coruna | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 51.3% | 50.1% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 56.8% | 58.0% |
| Both teams to score | 62.2% | 56.0% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Segunda División | #5 | 1533 | 1644 | 1609 |
| 2024-25 | Segunda División | #16 | 1493 | 1580 | 1468 |
| 2019-20 | Segunda División | #12 | 1561 | 1585 | 1525 |
| 2018-19 | Segunda División | #5 | 1501 | 1634 | 1556 |
| 2017-18 | La Liga | #18 | 1466 | 1470 | 1365 |
| 2016-17 | La Liga | #13 | 1518 | 1519 | 1410 |
| 2015-16 | La Liga | #17 | 1498 | 1575 | 1417 |
| 2014-15 | La Liga | #14 | 1482 | 1511 | 1426 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | vs Las Palmas | W La Coruna 52.9% · draw 26.9% | L ✗ |
| May 24, 2026 | at Valladolid | W La Coruna 39.0% · draw 30.2% | W ✓ |
| May 17, 2026 | vs Andorra | W La Coruna 56.2% · draw 25.9% | W ✓ |
| May 08, 2026 | at Cadiz | W La Coruna 47.6% · draw 26.3% | W ✓ |
| May 01, 2026 | vs Leganes | W La Coruna 62.2% · draw 22.6% | W ✓ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | at Burgos | W La Coruna 35.5% · draw 31.4% | D ✗ |
| Apr 20, 2026 | vs Mirandes | W La Coruna 77.4% · draw 15.1% | W ✓ |
| Apr 12, 2026 | at Huesca | W La Coruna 44.5% · draw 27.9% | D ✗ |
| Apr 04, 2026 | vs Malaga | W La Coruna 44.1% · draw 29.7% | D ✗ |
| Mar 31, 2026 | vs Cordoba | W La Coruna 49.6% · draw 25.5% | W ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/la-coruna">Segunda División title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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