Pescara

Serie B · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1430 · #16 Serie B 7W–14D–17L · 35 pts In line Updated May 08, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened

Final: #19 of 20 in Serie B 35 pts · 7W–14D–17L · GD -15

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.

Full Serie B simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Pescara?

In line with the league 2025-26 · 33 predicted matches · backtest

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Pescara's results were 3.3% harder to call than the Serie B average. How this is measured.

MarketPescaraLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 48.5% 49.7%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 51.5% 54.2%
Both teams to score 60.6% 52.7%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2025-26 Serie B #16 1467 1480 1430
2020-21 Serie B #18 1450 1450 1383
2019-20 Serie B #17 1477 1549 1437
2018-19 Serie B #9 1449 1563 1513
2017-18 Serie B #17 1523 1546 1434
2016-17 Serie A #20 1498 1535 1281

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches — model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
May 08, 2026 vs Spezia W Pescara 38.3% · draw 28.4% D
May 01, 2026 at Padova L Pescara 32.1% · draw 32.3% L
Apr 25, 2026 vs Juve Stabia W Pescara 36.8% · draw 30.9% D
Apr 19, 2026 at Carrarese L Pescara 24.5% · draw 28.9% D
Apr 11, 2026 vs Sampdoria W Pescara 37.5% · draw 29.9% L
Apr 06, 2026 at Reggiana L Pescara 34.1% · draw 31.2% W
Mar 22, 2026 at Empoli L Pescara 25.2% · draw 27.7% L
Mar 18, 2026 vs Virtus Entella W Pescara 36.7% · draw 29.7% W
Mar 15, 2026 at Sudtirol L Pescara 16.1% · draw 22.6% D
Mar 08, 2026 vs Bari W Pescara 36.0% · draw 30.0% W

Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0

The Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/pescara">Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)

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