Pescara
Serie B · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #19 of 20 in Serie B 35 pts · 7W–14D–17L · GD -15
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Serie B simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Pescara?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 33 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Pescara's results were 3.3% harder to call than the Serie B average. How this is measured.
| Market | Pescara | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 48.5% | 49.7% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 51.5% | 54.2% |
| Both teams to score | 60.6% | 52.7% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Serie B | #16 | 1467 | 1480 | 1430 |
| 2020-21 | Serie B | #18 | 1450 | 1450 | 1383 |
| 2019-20 | Serie B | #17 | 1477 | 1549 | 1437 |
| 2018-19 | Serie B | #9 | 1449 | 1563 | 1513 |
| 2017-18 | Serie B | #17 | 1523 | 1546 | 1434 |
| 2016-17 | Serie A | #20 | 1498 | 1535 | 1281 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 08, 2026 | vs Spezia | W Pescara 38.3% · draw 28.4% | D ✗ |
| May 01, 2026 | at Padova | L Pescara 32.1% · draw 32.3% | L ✓ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | vs Juve Stabia | W Pescara 36.8% · draw 30.9% | D ✗ |
| Apr 19, 2026 | at Carrarese | L Pescara 24.5% · draw 28.9% | D ✗ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs Sampdoria | W Pescara 37.5% · draw 29.9% | L ✗ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | at Reggiana | L Pescara 34.1% · draw 31.2% | W ✗ |
| Mar 22, 2026 | at Empoli | L Pescara 25.2% · draw 27.7% | L ✓ |
| Mar 18, 2026 | vs Virtus Entella | W Pescara 36.7% · draw 29.7% | W ✓ |
| Mar 15, 2026 | at Sudtirol | L Pescara 16.1% · draw 22.6% | D ✗ |
| Mar 08, 2026 | vs Bari | W Pescara 36.0% · draw 30.0% | W ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/pescara">Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)
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