Reggiana

Serie B · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1400 · #18 Serie B 9W–10D–19L · 37 pts In line Updated May 08, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened

Final: #18 of 20 in Serie B 37 pts · 9W–10D–19L · GD -20

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.

Full Serie B simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Reggiana?

In line with the league 2025-26 · 33 predicted matches · backtest

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Reggiana's results were 0.6% easier to call than the Serie B average. How this is measured.

MarketReggianaLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 51.5% 49.7%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 57.6% 54.2%
Both teams to score 51.5% 52.7%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2025-26 Serie B #18 1482 1538 1400
2024-25 Serie B #11 1483 1539 1498
2023-24 Serie B #14 1384 1555 1481
2020-21 Serie B #19 1499 1528 1370

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches — model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
May 08, 2026 vs Sampdoria L Reggiana 30.8% · draw 31.6% W
May 01, 2026 at Modena L Reggiana 11.8% · draw 20.3% L
Apr 25, 2026 vs Palermo L Reggiana 20.4% · draw 22.8% D
Apr 19, 2026 at Padova L Reggiana 30.2% · draw 30.8% L
Apr 12, 2026 vs Carrarese L Reggiana 28.3% · draw 28.2% W
Apr 06, 2026 vs Pescara W Reggiana 34.7% · draw 31.2% L
Mar 22, 2026 at Virtus Entella L Reggiana 24.1% · draw 29.4% L
Mar 17, 2026 vs Monza L Reggiana 21.9% · draw 24.5% D
Mar 14, 2026 at Bari L Reggiana 30.6% · draw 31.8% L
Mar 07, 2026 at Venezia L Reggiana 5.1% · draw 11.8% L

Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0

The Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/reggiana">Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)

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