La Liga 2025-2026: Barcelona vs Girona Prediction
Barcelona
Home Team
99%
VS
Girona
Away Team
0%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5:
71%
Under 2.5:
29%
Goal:
56%
No Goal:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Betis | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Ath Madrid | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Elche | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Betis | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Espanol | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Getafe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Levante | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Valencia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Celta | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Oviedo | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Girona | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 6 |
| 19 | Sociedad | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 | Mallorca | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Barcelona
- Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 6 - 0)
Girona
- Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 5th Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Barcelona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
3.14
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.43
# Clean Sheets:
2
Girona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.80
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.27
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Barcelona and Girona heavily favors the home team, with a staggering 99.0% probability of a Barcelona victory. The chances of Girona pulling off an upset are virtually nonexistent, while the likelihood of a draw stands at a mere 1.0%. The prediction also suggests a match with over 2.5 goals, reflecting a 71.0% probability. Barcelona currently sits second in La Liga, just behind Real Madrid, whereas Girona languishes in the relegation zone at 18th.
Match Analysis
Barcelona enters this fixture on a strong note, with two wins and one loss in their last three encounters. They recently suffered a defeat away to Sevilla but bounced back with emphatic victories against Sociedad and Oviedo, showcasing their attacking prowess. The Catalan giants have averaged an impressive 3.67 goals per game over their last five matches, while maintaining a solid defense with just 0.33 goals conceded on average. Their expected goals metrics also underline their offensive strength, with an average of 3.14 expected goals scored per game.
On the other hand, Girona has shown some signs of resilience, managing a win against Valencia and holding both Espanol and Ath Bilbao to draws. However, their offensive output has been modest, with an average of 0.67 goals scored over the past five games. Defensively, they have struggled, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per match. Girona's expected goals conceded metric of 2.27 further emphasizes their defensive vulnerabilities, which could be a major concern against Barcelona's potent attack.
Final Prediction
Barcelona's formidable attacking form and solid defense give them a decisive edge over Girona, who have been struggling at both ends of the pitch. The Blaugrana's ability to consistently score goals, combined with Girona's defensive frailties, could determine the outcome of this match. A key factor to watch will be how Girona's defense handles the relentless pressure from Barcelona's forwards.