La Liga 2025-2026: Real Madrid vs Vallecano Prediction
Real Madrid
Home Team
95%
VS
Vallecano
Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5:
58%
Under 2.5:
42%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 57 | 22 | 35 | 52 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 51 |
| 3 | Ath Madrid | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 44 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Espanol | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Betis | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | Celta | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 32 |
| 8 | Sociedad | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
| 10 | Girona | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 25 |
| 11 | Elche | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 24 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | Betis | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 | Valencia | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Alaves | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 22 |
| 16 | Vallecano | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Getafe | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 22 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Levante | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 13 |
Recent Trends
Real Madrid
- Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 5 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 1)
Vallecano
- Last Match: vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 0 - 4)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Real Madrid
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.98
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.03
# Clean Sheets:
3
Vallecano
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.07
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
Real Madrid is predicted to come out victorious in their upcoming clash against Vallecano, with an overwhelming 95% probability of winning. Given their recent form, Real Madrid is expected to deliver a performance with over 2.5 goals, which stands at a 58% probability. Real Madrid currently sits in 2nd position in La Liga, just one point shy of the leaders, Barcelona, while Vallecano is struggling in 16th place, fighting to avoid relegation.
Match Analysis
Real Madrid comes into this fixture riding high on a streak of three consecutive wins. Their recent triumphs against Villarreal, Levante, and Betis have been marked by solid defensive displays, conceding just one goal across these matches while netting nine times themselves. Notably, they have maintained clean sheets in two games, showcasing a robust defensive unit. Their average of 2.6 goals scored per game, complemented by a strong expected goals average of 2.976, indicates a potent attacking force.
In stark contrast, Vallecano has found themselves in a challenging period, having secured just one win in their last three outings. After suffering back-to-back losses against Osasuna and Celta, they managed a narrow victory over Mallorca. Vallecano has struggled both offensively and defensively, averaging 0.0 goals scored and 2.4 goals conceded over their last five matches. Their inability to keep a clean sheet further highlights defensive vulnerabilities that Real Madrid will be eager to exploit.
Final Prediction
Real Madrid's superior form and statistical edge give them a clear advantage in this matchup. Their balanced approach, combining a high-scoring offense with a tight defense, sets them apart from Vallecano's current struggles. Fans should keep an eye on Real Madrid's attacking prowess, as their ability to convert chances into goals is likely to be the decisive factor in this encounter.