La Liga 2025-2026: Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction
Real Madrid
Home Team
79%
VS
Villarreal
Away Team
9%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5:
51%
Under 2.5:
49%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 19 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Elche | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Ath Madrid | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | Betis | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Espanol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Getafe | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Alaves | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Valencia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Oviedo | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Vallecano | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Celta | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sociedad | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Mallorca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 | Girona | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Real Madrid
- Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 2 - 5)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 1)
Villarreal
- Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Osasuna (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Real Madrid
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.57
# Clean Sheets:
1
Villarreal
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.35
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.08
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Real Madrid is predicted to win their upcoming match against Villarreal, with a high probability of 79.0%. The game is expected to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 51.0% chance. Real Madrid currently sits in 2nd place in La Liga, trailing just behind Barcelona, while Villarreal holds the 3rd position, making this a crucial clash in the upper echelons of the league.
Match Analysis
In recent games, Real Madrid showcased strong performances, winning two out of their last three matches. They secured victories against Levante and Espanol, scoring a total of six goals and conceding just one. However, they stumbled against Ath Madrid, suffering a 5-2 defeat away from home. Real Madrid's attack is potent, averaging 1.67 goals per game over the last five matches, while their defense has been relatively sturdy, conceding just 0.33 goals on average.
Villarreal has been on a winning streak, claiming victory in their last three matches. They have managed to keep their scoreline tight yet effective, beating Ath Bilbao, Sevilla, and Osasuna with a combination of solid defense and timely goals. Despite averaging only 1.0 goal per game in their recent outings, Villarreal’s defense has been less robust, conceding an average of 1.33 goals. The advanced metrics suggest that Real Madrid's expected goals scored and conceded figures are slightly better than Villarreal's, hinting at a potential edge for the home team.
Final Prediction
Real Madrid's superior form, particularly their attacking prowess, gives them a significant edge in this matchup. Their ability to score goals consistently, coupled with a solid defensive record, makes them the favorites to secure a win. A key factor to watch will be Real Madrid's offensive strategies against Villarreal's defense, which may determine the final outcome of the match. The game promises to be an exciting encounter with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities.