Ligue 1 2025-2026: Auxerre vs Lyon Prediction
Auxerre
Home Team
16%
VS
Lyon
Away Team
71%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5:
45%
Under 2.5:
55%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Marseille | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 25 |
| 3 | Lens | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Monaco | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Lyon | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Rennes | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Le Havre | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Angers | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Metz | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 11 |
| 15 | Brest | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Nantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | Lorient | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Auxerre
- Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 2 - 2)
Lyon
- Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Paris FC (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 2 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Auxerre
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.94
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.17
# Clean Sheets:
0
Lyon
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.33
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.45
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Auxerre and Lyon sees the visiting team, Lyon, as the clear favorites with a 71.0% probability of winning. Auxerre, currently languishing at the bottom of the Ligue 1 standings in 18th place, faces a daunting task against 7th-placed Lyon. The game is also predicted to feature under 2.5 goals, suggesting a low-scoring encounter.
Match Analysis
Auxerre's recent form has been disappointing, suffering three consecutive defeats without scoring a single goal. They have lost to Angers, Marseille, and Strasbourg, allowing a total of six goals during these matches. With an average of only 0.6 goals scored in their last five games, they have struggled offensively. On the defensive side, Auxerre's average of 1.2 goals conceded per game further highlights their vulnerabilities, compounded by their lack of clean sheets.
Lyon, meanwhile, has experienced a mix of results, with a loss to league leaders Paris SG followed by two draws against Brest and Paris FC. Despite their competitive matches, Lyon's defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last five outings. However, their offensive output remains more promising, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match and a decent expected goals tally of 1.328. Lyon's ability to find the net could be a critical factor against a struggling Auxerre side.
Final Prediction
Lyon's edge in this matchup stems from their superior attacking capabilities and overall league position. With Auxerre's current slump in form and lack of goals, Lyon's offensive prowess is likely to be the key factor in securing a victory. Fans should keep an eye on Lyon's ability to capitalize on Auxerre's defensive frailties, which could ultimately decide the outcome of the game.