Ligue 1 2025-2026: Brest vs Lyon Prediction
Brest
Home Team
14%
VS
Lyon
Away Team
73%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5:
53%
Under 2.5:
47%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Monaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Lens | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | Nice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Rennes | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Le Havre | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Brest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 | Lorient | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 18 | Metz | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Brest
- Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 2 - 0)
Lyon
- Last Match: vs Paris FC (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Brest
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.90
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.87
# Clean Sheets:
2
Lyon
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.49
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Brest and Lyon is predicted to favor the visitors, Lyon, with a significant probability of 73.0% for an away win. The likelihood of the match seeing over 2.5 goals is reasonably high at 53.0%, suggesting an action-packed encounter. In the current Ligue 1 standings, Lyon holds a promising 5th position, while Brest finds themselves in a precarious 14th place, highlighting the contrasting fortunes of these two teams.
Match Analysis
Recent performances indicate that Brest has been struggling, particularly in their last three matches. They suffered defeats against Le Havre and league leaders Paris SG, managing only a draw against Lorient, a match that ended with a high-scoring 3-3 tie. Their defensive frailties are evident, conceding goals consistently, while their attack has not been potent enough to turn games in their favor.
On the other hand, Lyon exhibits a more balanced form, with a mixed bag of results in their last three outings. They secured a vital win against Strasbourg and earned a draw in a high-scoring affair against Paris FC. Despite a narrow loss to Nice, Lyon's overall play suggests they are capable of bouncing back. Key metrics reveal that both Brest and Lyon average 1.6 goals scored in their last five games, but Lyon's slightly better defensive record, with fewer expected goals conceded, could prove crucial.
Final Prediction
Lyon's edge in this matchup is attributed to their stronger league position and recent form, which sees them better equipped to capitalize on Brest's vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch during the game will be Lyon's ability to exploit Brest's defensive lapses, potentially leading to a high-scoring encounter as predicted. Fans can look forward to an engaging match with plenty of attacking intent from both sides.