Ligue 1 2025-2026: Brest vs Monaco Prediction
Brest
Home Team
25%
VS
Monaco
Away Team
55%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5:
52%
Under 2.5:
48%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Paris SG | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 30 |
| 3 | Marseille | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 29 |
| 4 | Lille | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 26 |
| 5 | Rennes | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 24 |
| 6 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 24 |
| 7 | Monaco | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 23 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Nice | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 17 |
| 11 | Brest | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Angers | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 14 |
| 15 | Lorient | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 14 |
| 16 | Nantes | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 11 |
| 17 | Metz | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 11 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Brest
- Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 0 - 1)
Monaco
- Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Paris FC (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 5 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Brest
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.08
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.37
# Clean Sheets:
1
Monaco
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.98
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.95
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Monaco is predicted to come out on top with a 55.0% probability of winning against Brest, who have a 25.0% chance of victory. The game is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 52.0% chance of having over 2.5 goals. Monaco currently sits 7th in the league standings, while Brest occupies the 11th spot.
Match Analysis
Brest enters this fixture on the back of a mixed bag of results, with recent performances showing a win against Strasbourg and a narrow win over Metz, but a heavy loss to Marseille. Their last three matches have seen them score five goals and concede six, illustrating a bit of inconsistency in both attack and defense. Despite this, they have a positive average of expected goals scored at 2.084, which suggests they are creating opportunities.
Monaco, meanwhile, has had a challenging spell, having lost two of their last three games against tough opposition in Rennes and Lens, but they did secure a morale-boosting victory over Paris SG. Their attacking prowess is highlighted by an average of two goals per game over their last five outings. However, their defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match. The advanced metrics indicate a high expected goals figure of 1.976, showing their attacking intent, even if their defensive frailties are evident.
Final Prediction
Monaco's greater probability of winning is largely due to their stronger attacking metrics and overall league position. Their ability to score goals consistently gives them an advantage over Brest, who have shown defensive vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch in this game will be how Monaco's attack exploits Brest's defensive lapses, potentially leading to a high-scoring encounter.