Ligue 1 2025-2026: Brest vs Paris SG Prediction
Brest
Home Team
4%
VS
Paris SG
Away Team
91%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5:
55%
Under 2.5:
45%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Paris FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 20 | -15 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Brest
- Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Paris FC (Goals: 1 - 2)
Paris SG
- Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 2 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Brest
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.91
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.61
# Clean Sheets:
2
Paris SG
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.22
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Brest and Paris SG is heavily tipped in favor of the visitors, with a commanding 91.0% probability of Paris SG securing a win. The game is also predicted to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 55.0% likelihood. Brest currently sits at 12th in the Ligue 1 standings, whereas Paris SG is not listed in the current standings, suggesting possible confusion with Paris FC, which is in 2nd place.
Match Analysis
Brest has shown a mixed bag of performances in their last three matches. They managed a commendable 2-0 victory away at Angers but were held to a goalless draw by Nantes at home and a high-scoring 3-3 draw at Lorient. Their recent form reflects resilience, particularly in defense, with two clean sheets in the last five games. Statistically, Brest has averaged 2.0 goals per match in their recent outings, but a concerning 1.5 goals conceded per game could be their Achilles' heel against a potent Paris SG attack.
Paris SG, on the other hand, comes into this match with a similar scoring average of 2.0 goals per game in their last five outings. They secured a solid 2-0 win against Auxerre but were held to 1-1 and 3-3 draws against Lille and Strasbourg, respectively. Defensively, they have managed two clean sheets in recent matches and exhibit a slightly more robust defense with an average of 1.25 goals conceded. Their expected goals metrics also align closely with their actual performance, suggesting a consistent offensive threat.
Final Prediction
Paris SG’s superior probability of winning stems from their consistent offensive displays and slightly better defensive record compared to Brest. A key factor to watch in this game will be Paris SG’s ability to exploit Brest’s defensive vulnerabilities, potentially leading to a high-scoring encounter. Football fans should keep an eye on how Brest’s defense copes with the relentless Paris SG attack.