Ligue 1 2025-2026: Lorient vs Brest Prediction
Lorient
Home Team
25%
VS
Brest
Away Team
55%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5:
52%
Under 2.5:
48%
Goal:
60%
No Goal:
40%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Marseille | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Lyon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Lens | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Lille | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Paris FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Rennes | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Lorient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Metz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Lorient
- Last Match: vs Paris FC (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 1 - 7)
Brest
- Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Paris FC (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lorient
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.55
# Clean Sheets:
0
Brest
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.08
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Lorient and Brest is predicted to be a highly competitive encounter, with Brest having a 55% chance of walking away with the victory. Lorient, on the other hand, has a lower probability of winning at 25%, while a draw stands at 21%. The match is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 52% chance of seeing over 2.5 goals. In the current Ligue 1 standings, Brest sits in 11th place with 8 points, while Lorient is just below in 13th place with 7 points.
Match Analysis
Lorient's recent form has been mixed, with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three matches. They managed an impressive 3-1 victory at home against Monaco but were held to a 1-1 draw by Le Havre and suffered a 2-0 defeat away at Paris FC. Lorient's offensive line has been productive, averaging 2.67 goals per game over the last five matches, but their defense has been equally porous, conceding the same average number of goals per game. This lack of defensive solidity could be a concern against Brest.
Brest, meanwhile, has shown resilience and effectiveness, especially in their last two games. They secured a goalless draw against Nantes at home and achieved back-to-back victories against Angers (2-0) and Nice (4-1). Brest has been relatively solid defensively, with two clean sheets in their last five matches, and they have managed to control the game effectively with their tactical approach. However, they have averaged only 1.0 goal scored per game in the same period, indicating room for improvement in their attacking play.
Final Prediction
Brest's recent solid performances and their ability to secure clean sheets give them a slight edge over Lorient in this match. Their balanced approach and ability to capitalize on opportunities could be key in overcoming Lorient's defensive vulnerabilities. A crucial factor to watch will be how each team handles defensive pressures, as this could be the deciding factor in the game.