Ligue 1 2025-2026: Lyon vs Nantes Prediction

Lyon

Home Team
88%
VS

Nantes

Away Team
5%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 13 9 3 1 27 11 16 30
2 Marseille 13 9 1 3 33 12 21 28
3 Lens 13 9 1 3 22 11 11 28
4 Lille 13 7 2 4 27 17 10 23
5 Strasbourg 13 7 1 5 24 17 7 22
6 Rennes 13 5 6 2 23 18 5 21
7 Lyon 13 6 3 4 18 15 3 21
8 Monaco 13 6 2 5 25 25 0 20
9 Nice 13 5 2 6 18 23 -5 17
10 Toulouse 13 4 4 5 18 17 1 16
11 Angers 13 4 4 5 11 15 -4 16
12 Paris FC 13 4 2 7 20 25 -5 14
13 Le Havre 13 3 5 5 13 20 -7 14
14 Brest 13 3 4 6 17 23 -6 13
15 Nantes 13 2 5 6 12 19 -7 11
16 Lorient 13 2 5 6 15 27 -12 11
17 Metz 13 3 2 8 14 30 -16 11
18 Auxerre 13 2 2 9 7 19 -12 8

Recent Trends

Lyon ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Auxerre (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Paris SG (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Paris FC (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Strasbourg (Goals: 2 - 1)

Nantes ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Lorient (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Metz (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Monaco (Goals: 3 - 5)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Paris FC (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lyon

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.73
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.09
# Clean Sheets: 2

Nantes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.87
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.54
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Lyon is predicted to win their upcoming match against Nantes with a commanding probability of 88.0%. Despite the strong likelihood of a home victory, the game is expected to be low-scoring, with a 48.0% chance of staying under 2.5 goals. Currently, Lyon sits in 7th place in Ligue 1, while Nantes is struggling in 15th position, just above the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

In the past three games, Lyon has shown mixed results, with a draw against Auxerre and Brest, and a narrow home loss to league leaders Paris SG. Their recent performances suggest a solid defensive setup, with two clean sheets in their last five matches. Lyon's average goals scored stand at 1.4 per game, while they concede an average of 1.2, indicating a balanced, albeit slightly underperforming, offensive and defensive line. Nantes, on the other hand, has failed to secure a win in their last three outings, drawing against Lorient and Le Havre, and losing to Metz. Their lack of clean sheets in the last five games highlights defensive vulnerabilities. With an average of 1.0 goals scored and conceded per game, Nantes struggles to find an edge in both attack and defense. Their expected goals metrics also suggest they are underperforming offensively, which could be a concern against a Lyon side eager to climb the standings.

Final Prediction

Lyon's strong home advantage and recent defensive solidity give them a clear edge over Nantes in this fixture. While the match may not be rich in goals, Lyon's ability to control the game and capitalize on their opportunities could be decisive. Fans should watch for Lyon's defensive organization, which could stifle Nantes' attempts and steer the home team toward a crucial victory.