Ligue 1 2025-2026: Marseille vs Angers Prediction
Marseille
Home Team
98%
VS
Angers
Away Team
1%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5:
57%
Under 2.5:
43%
Goal:
49%
No Goal:
51%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | Lens | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Marseille | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 18 |
| 4 | Lyon | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | Monaco | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 16 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Rennes | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Nantes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Lorient | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 8 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Metz | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 26 | -20 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Marseille
- Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 6 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 1 - 0)
Angers
- Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 5)
- 4th Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Marseille
Average Expected Goals (xG):
3.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.63
# Clean Sheets:
2
Angers
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.58
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Angers is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, Marseille, with a staggering 98.0% probability of victory. This is hardly surprising given Marseille's current standing at 3rd place in the league, aiming to secure a spot in next season's Champions League. Meanwhile, Angers languishes in 15th position, teetering just above the relegation zone. The match is also predicted to feature more than 2.5 goals, with a 57.0% likelihood of this outcome.
Match Analysis
Marseille comes into this fixture with a strong recent run of form, having secured two wins in their last three matches. They convincingly defeated Le Havre 6-2 at home and overcame Metz 3-0 away, though they suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat to Lens. Their attacking prowess is evident, with Marseille averaging 4 goals per game in their last five matches, while maintaining defensive solidity, conceding only an average of 1 goal per game. Advanced metrics further highlight their attacking strength, with an average of 3.0375 expected goals scored against an expected concession of just 0.6275, indicating a well-balanced team performance.
Conversely, Angers have struggled significantly, having managed only one victory in their last three outings. They secured a 2-0 win against Lorient, drew 1-1 against Monaco, and suffered a heavy 5-0 loss to Strasbourg. Angers' goal-scoring woes are apparent, with an average of just 0.25 goals scored per game in their last five matches, while conceding an average of 2.0 goals. The expected goals metrics paint a similar picture of their struggles, with 0.7825 expected goals scored and 2.5825 expected goals conceded per match.
Final Prediction
Marseille's formidable form and attacking efficiency provide them with a clear edge in this encounter against Angers. With a high probability of a home victory, fans can anticipate a dynamic display from Marseille's forward line. Key to watch during the game will be Marseille's ability to capitalize on Angers’ defensive frailties, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair.