Ligue 1 2025-2026: Monaco vs Nice Prediction

Monaco

Home Team
71%
VS

Nice

Away Team
14%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%
Goal: 59%
No Goal: 41%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 6 5 0 1 12 4 8 15
2 Lyon 6 5 0 1 8 3 5 15
3 Marseille 6 4 0 2 12 5 7 12
4 Monaco 6 4 0 2 14 10 4 12
5 Strasbourg 6 4 0 2 9 7 2 12
6 Lille 6 3 1 2 13 9 4 10
7 Lens 6 3 1 2 8 5 3 10
8 Rennes 6 2 3 1 7 8 -1 9
9 Brest 6 2 1 3 11 11 0 7
10 Toulouse 6 2 1 3 9 11 -2 7
11 Paris FC 6 2 1 3 10 13 -3 7
12 Nice 6 2 1 3 7 10 -3 7
13 Lorient 6 2 1 3 9 14 -5 7
14 Auxerre 6 2 0 4 4 8 -4 6
15 Le Havre 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
16 Nantes 6 1 2 3 5 7 -2 5
17 Angers 6 1 2 3 3 6 -3 5
18 Metz 6 0 2 4 5 13 -8 2

Recent Trends

Monaco ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Lorient (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Metz (Goals: 5 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Strasbourg (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Lille (Goals: 0 - 1)

Nice ⚪ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Paris FC (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Brest (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Auxerre (Goals: 3 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Monaco

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.58
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.37
# Clean Sheets: 0

Nice

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.49
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.92
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Monaco and Nice is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, with a 71.0% probability of Monaco securing the win. The game is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 58.0% chance of over 2.5 goals being netted. Monaco sits comfortably in 4th place with 12 points, while Nice is positioned 12th with 7 points.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Monaco has shown a mix of results, notably bouncing back from a 3-1 away loss to Lorient with a convincing 5-2 home victory against Metz and a solid 2-1 away win over Auxerre. Their offensive prowess is evident, scoring an average of 3.67 goals per game in their last five matches. This attacking strength is complemented by an average expected goals of 2.58, although their defense has been less solid, conceding 1.67 goals on average. On the other hand, Nice has had a more inconsistent run. They drew 1-1 against Paris FC at home, suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat away to Brest, and managed a narrow 1-0 home win against Nantes. Nice has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 3.5 goals per game in the last five outings. Their offensive efforts have been modest, with an average of just 1 goal per game, although they have a slightly higher expected goals average of 1.49.

Final Prediction

Monaco's offensive firepower gives them a clear edge going into the match. The team's ability to score consistently, coupled with Nice's defensive vulnerabilities, makes Monaco the favored side. A key factor to watch will be Monaco's attacking duo and how they exploit Nice's defensive lapses, likely shaping the game's outcome.