Ligue 1 2025-2026: Paris FC vs Lyon Prediction
Paris FC
Home Team
28%
VS
Lyon
Away Team
53%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5:
54%
Under 2.5:
46%
Goal:
56%
No Goal:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | Lens | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Marseille | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 18 |
| 4 | Lyon | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | Monaco | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 16 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Rennes | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Nantes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Lorient | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 8 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Metz | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 26 | -20 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Paris FC
- Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 2 - 3)
Lyon
- Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Paris FC
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.47
# Clean Sheets:
1
Lyon
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.73
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.72
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Paris FC and Lyon sees the latter as the predicted winner with a 53.0% probability of taking home the victory. Meanwhile, Paris FC holds a 28.0% chance of winning, with draws sitting at 20.0%. The game is also expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 54.0% likelihood of over 2.5 goals. Paris FC currently sits in 11th place in the Ligue 1 standings, whereas Lyon holds the 4th position.
Match Analysis
Paris FC has been experiencing a mixed bag of results in their recent outings. They secured a vital 2-0 win at home against Lorient but suffered consecutive 1-2 losses to Nantes and Lens. Despite their struggles, Paris FC has shown potential in attack, averaging 2.0 goals per game in their last five matches. However, their defense remains a concern, conceding 1.75 goals on average during the same period.
On the other hand, Lyon's recent form has been inconsistent. They managed a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Strasbourg but stumbled with losses against Nice (2-3) and Toulouse (1-2). Lyon's attacking prowess has been moderate, with an average of 1.25 goals per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they have been slightly more stable, managing to keep two clean sheets in their recent matches.
Final Prediction
Lyon is favored to win due to their higher league standing and relatively consistent defensive performances. Their ability to secure clean sheets could be a decisive factor against a Paris FC side that has shown vulnerability in defense. Fans should keep an eye on Lyon's defensive organization, as it could play a crucial role in securing the predicted victory.