Ligue 1 2025-2026: Paris FC vs Rennes Prediction
Paris FC
Home Team
46%
VS
Rennes
Away Team
28%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5:
47%
Under 2.5:
53%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Marseille | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Lens | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Lille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | Monaco | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Lyon | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 19 |
| 8 | Nice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Le Havre | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Brest | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Nantes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 | Lorient | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 9 |
| 17 | Metz | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 8 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Paris FC
- Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 2 - 0)
Rennes
- Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 2 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Paris FC
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.73
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.42
# Clean Sheets:
2
Rennes
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.14
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.26
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
Paris FC is predicted to secure a victory with a 46.0% probability. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, which is consistent with the 47.0% probability of a low-scoring affair. Currently, Paris FC is in a more favorable position, sitting 11th in Ligue 1, while Rennes is just ahead in 10th place.
Match Analysis
Recent performances show Paris FC in a mixed form. They secured a commendable away victory against Monaco but stumbled at home against Nantes. Their home draw with Lyon also suggests vulnerability in defense, having conceded three goals. Paris FC's recent games indicate they score an average of 2.2 goals per match, while conceding 2.0, highlighting potential defensive challenges.
Conversely, Rennes has shown inconsistency, with a strong win against Strasbourg overshadowed by a home loss to Nice. Their draw away at Toulouse indicates resilience but also a propensity to concede goals, averaging 2.2 conceded per game. Rennes struggles to keep a clean sheet, which could be a critical factor against Paris FC's attacking capabilities. Advanced metrics suggest Rennes’s defensive frailties with high expected goals against of 2.26.
Final Prediction
Paris FC has the edge with their better recent performances and home advantage, coupled with Rennes's defensive vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch will be Paris FC's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and maintain defensive solidity, as evidenced by their clean sheets in recent matches. Football fans can anticipate a competitive clash with Paris FC being slightly favored to come out on top.