Ligue 1 2025-2026: Rennes vs Nice Prediction
Rennes
Home Team
65%
VS
Nice
Away Team
17%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5:
57%
Under 2.5:
43%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Paris FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 20 | -15 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Rennes
- Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 3 - 1)
Nice
- Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Paris FC (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 5th Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Rennes
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.76
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.75
# Clean Sheets:
1
Nice
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.10
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Rennes and Nice is poised to tilt in favor of the home team, Rennes, with a 65.0% probability of victory. Predicted to be a high-scoring affair, there's a 57.0% chance of the match surpassing 2.5 goals. Currently, Rennes occupies the 9th position in Ligue 1, while Nice is right behind them in 10th, both with 11 points from eight games.
Match Analysis
Rennes enters this match on the back of a series of draws, having split points with Auxerre, Le Havre, and Lens in their recent fixtures. While they have managed to maintain an unbeaten streak, their inability to convert draws into wins has been a point of concern. The team has shown resilience in defense but needs to leverage their attacking potential more effectively, as evidenced by their average of 1.5 goals scored per match in recent outings.
Nice, meanwhile, has also had a mixed bag of performances. Following a thrilling 3-2 victory over Lyon, they played out two consecutive draws against Monaco and Paris FC. Despite their ability to find the net, Nice has been leaking goals, conceding an average of 3.0 per match in recent games, which could be a significant vulnerability against Rennes.
Advanced metrics reveal that Rennes has been consistent in creating goal-scoring opportunities, with an expected goals average of 1.76. However, Nice's defensive frailties are highlighted by their expected goals conceded of 2.10, suggesting potential chances for Rennes to capitalize on.
Final Prediction
Rennes holds the edge heading into this encounter, largely due to their superior defensive organization and consistency in creating scoring chances. The key factor to watch will be how effectively Rennes can exploit Nice's defensive lapses. A high-scoring game is anticipated, with Rennes favored to secure a much-needed win to climb the league standings.