Ligue 1 2025-2026: Strasbourg vs Angers Prediction

Strasbourg

Home Team
80%
VS

Angers

Away Team
9%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 50%
No Goal: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 6 5 0 1 12 4 8 15
2 Lyon 6 5 0 1 8 3 5 15
3 Marseille 6 4 0 2 12 5 7 12
4 Monaco 6 4 0 2 14 10 4 12
5 Strasbourg 6 4 0 2 9 7 2 12
6 Lille 6 3 1 2 13 9 4 10
7 Lens 6 3 1 2 8 5 3 10
8 Rennes 6 2 3 1 7 8 -1 9
9 Brest 6 2 1 3 11 11 0 7
10 Toulouse 6 2 1 3 9 11 -2 7
11 Paris FC 6 2 1 3 10 13 -3 7
12 Nice 6 2 1 3 7 10 -3 7
13 Lorient 6 2 1 3 9 14 -5 7
14 Auxerre 6 2 0 4 4 8 -4 6
15 Le Havre 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
16 Nantes 6 1 2 3 5 7 -2 5
17 Angers 6 1 2 3 3 6 -3 5
18 Metz 6 0 2 4 5 13 -8 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Strasbourg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.45
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.98
# Clean Sheets: 2

Angers

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.02
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

As Strasbourg prepares to face off against Angers, the odds strongly favor a home victory. With an 80% probability of winning, Strasbourg is expected to leverage their superior form against an Angers side predicted to have just a 9% chance of emerging victorious. Currently standing 5th in Ligue 1, Strasbourg is well-positioned against Angers, who languish at 17th place. The game is expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 48% chance for this outcome, suggesting a tight contest.

Match Analysis

Strasbourg enters this fixture off a mixed run of form, highlighting their ability to compete against strong opponents. A recent home loss to Marseille (2-1) was countered by victories against Paris FC (3-2) and Le Havre (1-0), showcasing their resilience and ability to bounce back. Their performance metrics reveal an average of 1.0 goals scored per game over the last five matches, with a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.67 goals per match. Their expected goals (xG) figures also indicate a healthy attacking output, averaging 1.45 xG per game. In contrast, Angers has struggled to find their rhythm, with no victories in their last three outings. A 2-0 home defeat to Brest and a narrow 1-0 loss to Lyon highlight their recent struggles, while a 1-1 draw against Metz offered a minor reprieve. Angers' attacking woes are evident, averaging just 0.33 goals scored per match and failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five games. Their defensive frailties are further exposed by conceding an average of 2.02 expected goals against (xGA).

Final Prediction

Strasbourg's superior form and defensive solidity give them a distinct edge over Angers, who are grappling with both scoring and defensive issues. Key to the match will be Strasbourg's ability to capitalize on Angers' vulnerabilities at the back. Fans should watch for Strasbourg's defensive organization, which could stifle Angers' attempts to gain any momentum in the game.