Serie A 2024-2025: Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction
Atalanta
Home Team
64%
VS
Lazio
Away Team
18%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5:
50%
Under 2.5:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 67 | 28 | 39 | 67 |
| 2 | Napoli | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 64 |
| 3 | Atalanta | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 63 | 29 | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Bologna | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 56 |
| 5 | Juventus | 30 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 55 |
| 6 | Roma | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | Lazio | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 52 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 51 |
| 9 | Milan | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 47 |
| 10 | Udinese | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Torino | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 39 |
| 12 | Genoa | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 | Como | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 30 |
| 14 | Verona | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 30 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 29 |
| 16 | Parma | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
| 17 | Lecce | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | Empoli | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 23 |
| 19 | Venezia | 30 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 20 |
| 20 | Monza | 30 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 52 | -28 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Atalanta
- Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Venezia (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Empoli (Goals: 5 - 0)
Lazio
- Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 5)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Venezia (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Atalanta
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.71
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.93
# Clean Sheets:
3
Lazio
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.57
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.69
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Atalanta is predicted to secure a victory against Lazio with a probability of 64.0%. The game is also expected to feature more than 2.5 goals, with a 50.0% chance for such an outcome. Currently, Atalanta is sitting in 3rd place in the Serie A standings, while Lazio is in 7th, both vying for crucial points to enhance their league positions.
Match Analysis
In recent performances, Atalanta has experienced a mixed bag of results. They managed an impressive 4-0 victory against Juventus, showcasing their attacking prowess on the road. However, they suffered back-to-back defeats against Fiorentina and Inter, failing to score in both fixtures. Atalanta's defense has been relatively solid, with three clean sheets in their last five games, indicating resilience at the back.
Lazio, on the other hand, has struggled to find consistency. They were held to draws against Torino and Udinese, and suffered a heavy 5-0 defeat to Bologna. Despite averaging 1.4 goals per game in their last five outings, they have conceded the same number, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Lazio's attack has shown potential, but their defense has been leaky, with only one clean sheet in their recent matches.
Advanced metrics suggest Atalanta has been underperforming in terms of goals scored compared to their expected goals, indicating potential for improvement in their finishing. Conversely, Lazio's expected goals conceded figures suggest their defense has been underperforming, potentially spelling trouble against Atalanta's attacking threats.
Final Prediction
Atalanta has the edge going into this match due to their stronger league position and home advantage. Their ability to keep clean sheets and the potential for their attack to align with expected goals metrics make them favorites. A key factor to watch will be Atalanta's attacking efficiency against Lazio's shaky defense, which could determine the final outcome.