Serie A 2025-2026: Atalanta vs Torino Prediction
Atalanta
Home Team
72%
VS
Torino
Away Team
13%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5:
50%
Under 2.5:
50%
Goal:
56%
No Goal:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 42 |
| 2 | Milan | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 39 |
| 3 | Napoli | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 38 |
| 4 | Juventus | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Roma | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Como | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 33 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 28 |
| 8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 26 |
| 9 | Lazio | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 25 |
| 10 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 23 |
| 12 | Torino | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 19 |
| 15 | Parma | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 18 |
| 16 | Lecce | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 17 |
| 17 | Genoa | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
| 18 | Verona | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 13 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 13 |
| 20 | Pisa | 19 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 12 |
Recent Trends
Atalanta
- Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)
Torino
- Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Atalanta
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.00
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.49
# Clean Sheets:
3
Torino
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.39
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.81
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The clash between Atalanta and Torino is predicted to lean heavily in favor of the home side, Atalanta, with a 72.0% probability of victory. The likelihood of a draw stands at 15.0%, while Torino’s chances of an upset are pegged at a mere 13.0%. Both teams are positioned in the middle of the Serie A table, with Atalanta in 7th place and Torino trailing in 12th. The match is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with a 50.0% probability of staying under 2.5 goals.
Match Analysis
Atalanta has experienced a mixed bag of results in their recent fixtures. They secured consecutive wins against Bologna and Roma, both with clean sheets, but fell short in a closely contested match against Inter. The team has shown defensive resilience, achieving three clean sheets in their last five outings. Advanced metrics indicate that Atalanta has been creating opportunities, with an average of 2.0 expected goals in recent games, though they have only converted an average of 1.0 actual goals per match.
On the other hand, Torino's recent performances have been inconsistent. After a solid 3-0 victory over Verona, they have suffered two home defeats against Udinese and Cagliari. Torino’s defense has been relatively robust, conceding just 0.4 goals on average in their last five games, and maintaining clean sheets in three of them. Despite generating 1.394 expected goals on average, their actual scoring rate mirrors Atalanta’s at 1.0 goals per game.
Final Prediction
Atalanta’s superior standing and recent defensive solidity give them a distinct edge in this encounter. Key to their potential success will be converting the chances they create, as evidenced by their higher expected goals metric. Fans should keep an eye on Atalanta’s attacking maneuvers, which could be pivotal in breaking down Torino’s resilient defense.