Serie A 2025-2026: Bologna vs Cremonese Prediction
Bologna
Home Team
92%
VS
Cremonese
Away Team
3%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5:
47%
Under 2.5:
53%
Goal:
49%
No Goal:
51%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Inter | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Bologna | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 24 |
| 6 | Como | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 21 |
| 7 | Juventus | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Lazio | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Udinese | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Torino | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Pisa | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Genoa | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Verona | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Bologna
- Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 2)
Cremonese
- Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Bologna
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.80
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.47
# Clean Sheets:
3
Cremonese
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.83
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.16
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Bologna and Cremonese is heavily tipped in favor of Bologna, with a commanding 92.0% probability of a home victory. The likelihood of a Cremonese win stands at a mere 3.0%, while a draw is only slightly more probable at 5.0%. Bologna currently sits in a respectable 5th position in Serie A, showing strong form, whereas Cremonese is positioned in 11th place. The expectation is for the match to feature under 2.5 goals, and neither team is predicted to score, reinforcing the anticipated dominance of the home side.
Match Analysis
Bologna approaches this fixture on a high, having secured victory in their last three outings. They have convincingly defeated Udinese, Napoli, and Parma, not only scoring a total of 8 goals but also showcasing defensive solidity with only one goal conceded. Their recent form is backed by strong advanced metrics, as Bologna averages 1.8 goals per game and has kept three clean sheets in their last five matches. This suggests a team in excellent shape both offensively and defensively.
On the other hand, Cremonese's recent performances tell a different story. They have suffered three consecutive losses against Roma, Pisa, and Juventus, scoring just twice and conceding 6 goals in total. Their offensive struggles are evident with an average of 0.8 goals scored per game over the last five matches. Cremonese's defensive vulnerabilities are highlighted by their average of 1.2 goals conceded per game and just one clean sheet in the same period. Their expected goals metrics further underscore their challenges, with a significantly high expected goals conceded average.
Final Prediction
Bologna's recent form and advanced metrics give them a clear edge over Cremonese. Their ability to score consistently while maintaining a robust defense places them in a strong position to secure a win. Fans should keep an eye on Bologna's defensive performance, as maintaining a clean sheet will be a critical factor in capitalizing on their current league form and securing three valuable points.