Serie A 2025-2026: Bologna vs Fiorentina Prediction

Bologna

Home Team
41%
VS

Fiorentina

Away Team
32%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 20 15 1 4 43 17 26 46
2 Milan 20 12 7 1 33 16 17 43
3 Napoli 20 12 4 4 30 17 13 40
4 Juventus 20 11 6 3 32 16 16 39
5 Roma 20 13 0 7 24 12 12 39
6 Como 20 9 7 4 28 16 12 34
7 Atalanta 20 8 7 5 25 19 6 31
8 Bologna 20 8 6 6 29 22 7 30
9 Lazio 20 7 7 6 21 16 5 28
10 Udinese 20 7 5 8 22 32 -10 26
11 Sassuolo 20 6 5 9 23 27 -4 23
12 Torino 20 6 5 9 21 32 -11 23
13 Cremonese 20 5 7 8 20 28 -8 22
14 Parma 20 5 7 8 14 22 -8 22
15 Genoa 20 4 7 9 22 29 -7 19
16 Cagliari 20 4 7 9 21 30 -9 19
17 Lecce 20 4 5 11 13 28 -15 17
18 Fiorentina 20 2 8 10 21 31 -10 14
19 Pisa 20 1 10 9 15 30 -15 13
20 Verona 20 2 7 11 17 34 -17 13

Recent Trends

Bologna ✅ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Como (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Sassuolo (Goals: 1 - 1)

Fiorentina ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Cremonese (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 5 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.49
# Clean Sheets: 0

Fiorentina

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.47
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.90
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Bologna and Fiorentina sees the home side as favorites with a 41.0% probability of winning. While Fiorentina's chances stand at 32.0%, a draw has a 27.0% likelihood. The prediction suggests a Bologna victory with the game expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals. Bologna is currently 8th in Serie A, while Fiorentina finds themselves in the relegation zone at 18th position.

Match Analysis

Bologna enters the match with a mixed set of recent performances. They achieved a commendable away victory against Verona and secured a draw away at Como but stumbled at home with a loss to Atalanta. Despite their mid-table standing, Bologna's recent form shows resilience, especially in away games. Advanced metrics reveal that Bologna has struggled to maintain clean sheets, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game in their last five matches. Their expected goals suggest they create sufficient chances, but conversion has been a slight issue. Fiorentina, on the other hand, comes into the match with a slight uptick in form. Despite being in the relegation zone, they managed a win against Cremonese and two draws against stronger opponents, Milan and Lazio. Fiorentina's defensive vulnerabilities are evident, with an average of 2 goals conceded per game in their last five. However, their offensive play has shown promise, with expected goals slightly above their actual scoring. A clean sheet against Cremonese highlights their potential for defensive solidity.

Final Prediction

Bologna's home advantage and higher league standing give them the edge in this match-up. Their recent away performances suggest they can handle pressure, but their defensive fragility remains a concern. Fiorentina's recent resilience and ability to compete against stronger teams could make this an intriguing contest. Watch out for Bologna's ability to convert chances and whether Fiorentina can maintain their defensive focus throughout the game.