Serie A 2025-2026: Bologna vs Juventus Prediction

Bologna

Home Team
51%
VS

Juventus

Away Team
25%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Milan 14 9 4 1 22 11 11 31
2 Napoli 14 10 1 3 22 12 10 31
3 Inter 14 10 0 4 32 13 19 30
4 Roma 14 9 0 5 15 8 7 27
5 Bologna 14 7 4 3 23 12 11 25
6 Como 14 6 6 2 19 11 8 24
7 Juventus 14 6 5 3 18 14 4 23
8 Sassuolo 14 6 2 6 19 17 2 20
9 Cremonese 14 5 5 4 18 17 1 20
10 Lazio 14 5 4 5 16 11 5 19
11 Udinese 14 5 3 6 15 22 -7 18
12 Atalanta 14 3 7 4 17 17 0 16
13 Cagliari 14 3 5 6 14 19 -5 14
14 Genoa 14 3 5 6 15 21 -6 14
15 Parma 14 3 5 6 10 17 -7 14
16 Torino 14 3 5 6 14 26 -12 14
17 Lecce 14 3 4 7 10 19 -9 13
18 Pisa 14 1 7 6 10 19 -9 10
19 Verona 14 1 6 7 11 21 -10 9
20 Fiorentina 14 0 6 8 11 24 -13 6

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.92
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.83
# Clean Sheets: 2

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.34
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.21
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Bologna and Juventus is predicted to favor the home side, with a 51.0% chance of a Bologna victory. A draw is also a viable outcome with a 23.0% probability, while Juventus stands at a 25.0% chance of winning. The match is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a probability of 44.0% for this scenario. Bologna currently sits 5th in the Serie A standings, whereas Juventus is positioned 7th, making this an intriguing encounter between two competitive teams.

Match Analysis

Bologna's recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, featuring a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three matches. They managed an impressive 3-0 victory against Udinese away from home, but stumbled with a 3-1 defeat to Cremonese at home. Their draw against Lazio showcased their resilience on the road. Bologna has been effective defensively, conceding an average of only 0.8 goals per game over their last five matches and keeping two clean sheets. Offensively, they have averaged 1.8 goals per game, emphasizing a balanced approach both in attack and defense. Juventus, on the other hand, has shown a mixed bag of results, with a win, a loss, and a draw in their last three games. They secured a narrow 2-1 victory against Cagliari at home, but suffered a 2-1 defeat to Napoli away. Their draw against Fiorentina on the road highlighted their struggles in front of goal, as they have averaged only 0.8 goals per match in their last five outings. Defensively, they have been conceding more frequently, with an average of 1.4 goals per game, which could be a cause for concern against a motivated Bologna side.

Final Prediction

Bologna appears to have the upper hand going into this encounter, primarily due to their superior defensive record and home advantage. Their ability to keep clean sheets and capitalize on scoring opportunities gives them an edge over Juventus, who have been less consistent in recent performances. A key factor to watch during the game will be Bologna's defensive organization, which could be pivotal in securing a positive result against a Juventus team looking to find their rhythm.