Serie A 2025-2026: Bologna vs Milan Prediction
Bologna
Home Team
27%
VS
Milan
Away Team
54%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 22 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 52 |
| 2 | Milan | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 47 |
| 3 | Roma | 22 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 43 |
| 4 | Napoli | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 43 |
| 5 | Juventus | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 42 |
| 6 | Como | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 40 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 |
| 8 | Bologna | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 30 |
| 9 | Lazio | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 29 |
| 10 | Udinese | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 29 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Genoa | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Cremonese | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 23 |
| 15 | Parma | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 23 |
| 16 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 23 |
| 17 | Lecce | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 18 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 17 |
| 19 | Pisa | 22 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 14 |
| 20 | Verona | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 14 |
Recent Trends
Bologna
- Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 2)
Milan
- Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Bologna
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.30
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.78
# Clean Sheets:
0
Milan
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.40
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.54
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Bologna and Milan is projected to tilt in favor of Milan, with a 54.0% probability of an away team victory. The likelihood of the match ending with under 2.5 goals is also significant, standing at 46.0%. Milan currently holds the second position in Serie A, while Bologna is placed eighth, suggesting a competitive but likely Milan-favored encounter.
Match Analysis
In recent outings, Bologna has shown a mixed bag of results, with a win against Verona being the highlight amid losses to Genoa and Fiorentina. Their attacking play has seen them score twice against both Genoa and Verona, but defensive frailties are evident, having conceded two or more goals in each of their last three games. Bologna's average of 1.8 goals conceded per game in their last five matches underscores their defensive challenges.
On the other hand, Milan's recent form has been more consistent, with a draw against third-placed Roma and wins over Lecce and Como. Their ability to score multiple goals, as evidenced by their 3-1 victory over Como, is a testament to their attacking prowess, averaging 1.8 goals per game over the last five matches. Milan's defense, which has conceded an average of 1.0 goals per game in the same period, will look to maintain this solidity against Bologna.
Final Prediction
Milan's higher league standing and recent form give them an apparent edge going into this match. Their balanced attack and relatively sturdy defense are key factors contributing to their predicted win over Bologna. A critical aspect to monitor during the game will be Milan's ability to exploit Bologna's defensive vulnerabilities, which could prove decisive in securing the three points.