Serie A 2025-2026: Bologna vs Napoli Prediction
Bologna
Home Team
44%
VS
Napoli
Away Team
31%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5:
48%
Under 2.5:
52%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Roma | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Bologna | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Como | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Lazio | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 9 | Udinese | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Torino | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Lecce | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Pisa | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | Verona | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
Recent Trends
Bologna
- Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 4 - 0)
Napoli
- Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Bologna
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.83
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.54
# Clean Sheets:
3
Napoli
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.00
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.12
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Serie A clash between Bologna and Napoli is predicted to tilt in favor of the home side, Bologna, with a 44.0% probability of winning. Despite Napoli's strong standing at the top of the league with 22 points, Bologna, currently in 5th place with 18 points, is expected to hold their ground. The match is also forecasted to feature under 2.5 goals, with a 48.0% probability, suggesting a potentially tight contest.
Match Analysis
In recent matches, Bologna has shown resilience, securing a win against Parma and drawing against both Torino and Fiorentina. Their defensive solidity is evident, having kept three clean sheets in their last five matches, and they've conceded an average of just 0.25 goals per game. Offensively, Bologna's expected goals average of 1.835 indicates they are creating quality chances, even if the goals haven't flowed freely.
Napoli, on the other hand, remains a formidable force in Serie A. Their recent performances include a goalless draw with Como, a narrow victory over Lecce, and an impressive win against Inter. Napoli's offensive metrics, with an average of 1.996 expected goals per game, underline their attacking prowess. However, their defense has been slightly more permeable, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match, which could be a factor against Bologna's organized attack.
Final Prediction
Bologna's recent defensive form, combined with their ability to control games, gives them a slight edge in this encounter. Their capacity to limit opponents' scoring opportunities could be crucial against a Napoli side that has shown occasional vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch will be how Bologna's defense manages to contain Napoli's attacking threats, potentially determining the outcome of the match.