Serie A 2025-2026: Bologna vs Pisa Prediction

Bologna

Home Team
85%
VS

Pisa

Away Team
7%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 50%
No Goal: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Milan 5 4 0 1 9 3 6 12
2 Napoli 5 4 0 1 10 5 5 12
3 Roma 5 4 0 1 5 1 4 12
4 Juventus 5 3 2 0 9 5 4 11
5 Inter 5 3 0 2 13 7 6 9
6 Atalanta 5 2 3 0 10 4 6 9
7 Cremonese 5 2 3 0 6 4 2 9
8 Como 5 2 2 1 6 4 2 8
9 Bologna 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
10 Cagliari 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
11 Udinese 5 2 1 2 5 8 -3 7
12 Lazio 5 2 0 3 7 4 3 6
13 Sassuolo 5 2 0 3 7 8 -1 6
14 Parma 5 1 2 2 3 6 -3 5
15 Torino 5 1 1 3 2 10 -8 4
16 Fiorentina 5 0 3 2 3 6 -3 3
17 Verona 5 0 3 2 2 8 -6 3
18 Pisa 5 0 2 3 3 6 -3 2
19 Genoa 5 0 2 3 2 7 -5 2
20 Lecce 5 0 2 3 4 10 -6 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.66
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.66
# Clean Sheets: 1

Pisa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.77
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.62
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Bologna is heavily favored to win their upcoming encounter against Pisa, with an 85% probability of victory. Despite Pisa's efforts, they only hold a 7% chance of triumph, while the likelihood of a draw stands at 8%. The game is predicted to finish with under 2.5 goals, and Bologna, currently sitting in 9th position in Serie A, seems poised to consolidate their standing against 18th-placed Pisa.

Match Analysis

In their recent fixtures, Bologna has shown resilience and potential. They secured a 2-1 win at home against Genoa and managed a draw away at Lecce, scoring 2 goals in each match. However, they fell short against a strong Milan side, losing 1-0. Bologna's ability to score consistently, averaging 1.5 goals per game, coupled with a solid defense that concedes an average of only 0.5 goals, positions them well for this matchup. Their expected goals metrics also underline their attacking intent and defensive solidity. Conversely, Pisa is struggling to find form, collecting just two points from their last three games. They endured a tight 3-2 loss to Napoli and a narrow 1-0 defeat to Udinese, while managing a goalless draw against Fiorentina. Pisa's defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 2 goals per game, which is a concern against a Bologna side that has shown scoring prowess. Despite generating decent attacking opportunities, with an expected goals average of 1.775, their inability to convert these into tangible results has been a stumbling block.

Final Prediction

Bologna's edge in this matchup stems from their balanced attack and defense, as well as their higher league position. Their recent performances suggest they have the capability to break down a vulnerable Pisa defense effectively. A key factor to watch will be Bologna's ability to maintain their defensive discipline, which could be crucial in securing the predicted win.