Serie A 2025-2026: Bologna vs Sassuolo Prediction
Bologna
Home Team
83%
VS
Sassuolo
Away Team
7%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5:
50%
Under 2.5:
50%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 33 |
| 2 | Milan | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 31 |
| 4 | Roma | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Juventus | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Bologna | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 25 |
| 7 | Como | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Lazio | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Atalanta | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 21 |
| 12 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 21 |
| 13 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Lecce | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 14 |
| 17 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 | Verona | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
| 19 | Pisa | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Bologna
- Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 0)
Sassuolo
- Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Bologna
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.75
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.09
# Clean Sheets:
2
Sassuolo
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.21
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.16
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Serie A clash between Bologna and Sassuolo is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, Bologna, who have an 83.0% probability of winning. Positioned 6th in the league, Bologna seems poised to secure a victory against 10th-placed Sassuolo. The game is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with the likelihood of goals being scored at 52.0%.
Match Analysis
Bologna's recent form has been a mixed bag with a loss to Juventus at home, a draw against Lazio away, and another home defeat to Cremonese. Despite these setbacks, Bologna has shown a robust defensive performance, maintaining two clean sheets in their last five games and conceding an average of only 0.8 goals per match. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.752 indicate that they have been creating good scoring chances, which could be a decisive factor against Sassuolo.
On the other hand, Sassuolo's recent performances have seen them securing a draw away at Milan, a home win against Fiorentina, and a narrow loss to Torino. The team has been scoring at an average rate of 1.4 goals per game but has struggled defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five outings. With an expected goals conceded of 1.158, Sassuolo's defense might be vulnerable against Bologna’s attack.
Final Prediction
Bologna appears to have the upper hand due to their stronger defensive record and superior league position. Their ability to create goal-scoring opportunities, as reflected in their xG statistics, gives them a significant edge over Sassuolo. A key factor to watch during the game will be Bologna's ability to convert their chances into goals, potentially making the difference in this encounter.