Serie A 2025-2026: Cagliari vs Pisa Prediction

Cagliari

Home Team
59%
VS

Pisa

Away Team
20%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 15 11 0 4 34 14 20 33
2 Milan 15 9 5 1 24 13 11 32
3 Napoli 15 10 1 4 22 13 9 31
4 Roma 15 10 0 5 16 8 8 30
5 Juventus 15 7 5 3 19 14 5 26
6 Bologna 15 7 4 4 23 13 10 25
7 Como 15 6 6 3 19 12 7 24
8 Lazio 15 6 4 5 17 11 6 22
9 Sassuolo 15 6 3 6 21 19 2 21
10 Udinese 15 6 3 6 16 22 -6 21
11 Cremonese 15 5 5 5 18 18 0 20
12 Atalanta 15 4 7 4 19 18 1 19
13 Torino 15 4 5 6 15 26 -11 17
14 Lecce 15 4 4 7 11 19 -8 16
15 Cagliari 15 3 5 7 15 21 -6 14
16 Genoa 15 3 5 7 16 23 -7 14
17 Parma 15 3 5 7 10 18 -8 14
18 Verona 15 2 6 7 13 22 -9 12
19 Pisa 15 1 7 7 10 20 -10 10
20 Fiorentina 15 0 6 9 12 26 -14 6

Recent Trends

Cagliari ❌ ✅ ❌ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Genoa (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 0)

Pisa ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Sassuolo (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Cremonese (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.89
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.62
# Clean Sheets: 2

Pisa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.38
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Cagliari and Pisa is predicted to tilt in favor of Cagliari, with a 59.0% probability of a home victory. Despite their lower league position, Cagliari are expected to leverage their home advantage and outperform Pisa. The match is also anticipated to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, supported by a 43.0% likelihood of this outcome. Cagliari currently sits in 15th place with 14 points, while Pisa is struggling in 19th place with just 10 points.

Match Analysis

Both teams enter this fixture on the back of contrasting recent performances. Cagliari has faced tough opponents like Atalanta, Roma, and Juventus in their last three matches, securing a notable home win against Roma, but suffering defeats away to Atalanta and Juventus. This indicates a stronger home performance, which could play a crucial role in their upcoming fixture. Their defensive stability at home is underscored by two clean sheets in their last five games. Pisa, on the other hand, has endured a difficult run, losing their last three matches against Lecce, Parma, and Inter without scoring a single goal. Their offensive struggles are evident, with an average of just 1.2 goals per game in their last five outings, and they have conceded an average of 2.2 goals per match. This defensive fragility, coupled with a lack of offensive output, has contributed to their current relegation-threatened position.

Final Prediction

Cagliari's solid home form and Pisa's offensive deficiencies make the Sardinians the favorites to secure a victory. The key factor to watch in this matchup will be whether Pisa can overcome their scoring drought and challenge Cagliari's defense. However, unless Pisa can significantly improve their attacking play, Cagliari's home advantage and recent better form should see them through to a vital win.