Serie A 2025-2026: Cagliari vs Roma Prediction
Cagliari
Home Team
9%
VS
Roma
Away Team
81%
Draw: 10%
Over 2.5:
45%
Under 2.5:
55%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Napoli | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
| 3 | Inter | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 27 |
| 4 | Roma | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 27 |
| 5 | Como | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Bologna | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
| 7 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
| 8 | Lazio | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Udinese | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 16 |
| 13 | Torino | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
| 14 | Lecce | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Genoa | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | Pisa | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 10 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 6 |
| 20 | Verona | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Cagliari
- Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 1 - 2)
Roma
- Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Cagliari
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.93
# Clean Sheets:
1
Roma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.68
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.55
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Serie A clash between Cagliari and Roma is heavily skewed in favor of the visitors, with an 81.0% probability of a Roma win. Cagliari, sitting at 15th place in the league, faces a tough challenge against a Roma side currently in 4th position and vying for a Champions League spot. The match is expected to remain under 2.5 goals, with a 45.0% probability for over 2.5 goals, suggesting a potentially tight contest.
Match Analysis
Cagliari enters the match after a string of mixed results, having drawn their last two games against Genoa and Como, and previously losing to Juventus. Their recent performances highlight a concerning trend of conceding goals, with an average of 1.8 goals conceded in their last five matches. Despite managing a draw against Genoa with three goals, Cagliari's offensive output has been inconsistent, further reflected in their average expected goals of 0.968.
In contrast, Roma has enjoyed a more positive run, securing victories against Cremonese and Udinese, although they suffered a narrow defeat to Napoli. Roma's defense has been notably robust, conceding an average of just 0.6 goals in their last five encounters. Their attacking prowess is also evident, with a higher average of expected goals at 1.68, indicating their capability to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Final Prediction
Roma's favorable odds stem from their stronger league position and recent form, marked by solid defensive performances and efficient attacking play. A key factor to watch for in this match will be Roma's ability to maintain their defensive discipline against a Cagliari side eager to improve their standing. Given these dynamics, Roma appears well-positioned to secure another vital win in their pursuit of a top-four finish.