Serie A 2024-2025: Cagliari vs Udinese Prediction

Cagliari

Home Team
47%
VS

Udinese

Away Team
27%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 34 22 8 4 54 25 29 74
2 Inter 34 21 8 5 72 33 39 71
3 Atalanta 34 19 8 7 67 31 36 65
4 Juventus 34 16 14 4 51 31 20 62
5 Bologna 34 16 13 5 52 37 15 61
6 Roma 34 17 9 8 49 32 17 60
7 Lazio 34 17 9 8 57 45 12 60
8 Fiorentina 34 17 8 9 53 34 19 59
9 Milan 34 15 9 10 53 38 15 54
10 Torino 34 10 13 11 38 39 -1 43
11 Como 34 11 9 14 44 48 -4 42
12 Udinese 34 11 8 15 36 48 -12 41
13 Genoa 34 9 12 13 29 41 -12 39
14 Cagliari 34 8 9 17 35 49 -14 33
15 Verona 34 9 5 20 30 62 -32 32
16 Parma 34 6 14 14 40 53 -13 32
17 Lecce 34 6 9 19 24 56 -32 27
18 Venezia 34 4 13 17 27 48 -21 25
19 Empoli 34 4 13 17 27 54 -27 25
20 Monza 34 2 9 23 25 59 -34 15

Recent Trends

Cagliari ✅ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Empoli (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 3 - 0)

Udinese ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Genoa (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.29
# Clean Sheets: 3

Udinese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.29
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Cagliari and Udinese sees Cagliari slightly favored with a 47.0% probability of winning, while Udinese holds a 27.0% chance, leaving a 26.0% likelihood for a draw. With Cagliari sitting in 14th position and Udinese in 12th on the Serie A table, both teams are keen to secure points to distance themselves from the relegation zone. The game is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with a 45.0% probability of under 2.5 goals being scored.

Match Analysis

Cagliari enters this match on the back of a mixed bag of recent performances. They earned a solid 2-0 victory against Verona away from home but suffered narrow losses against Fiorentina (2-1) and Inter (3-1). Their recent form shows a tenacity in defense, achieving three clean sheets in their last five matches, while averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per game. Their expected goals (xG) figures suggest they may struggle to convert chances, with an average xG of 0.974. In contrast, Udinese is experiencing a dry spell in front of goal, failing to score in their last three matches, which included a heavy 4-0 defeat against Milan and a 2-0 loss to Torino. They managed a goalless draw against Bologna, highlighting their defensive capabilities. Despite a higher average xG of 1.232, Udinese's current scoring form is concerning, averaging only 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2.

Final Prediction

Cagliari appears to have the upper hand, largely due to their recent defensive solidity and ability to find the back of the net more consistently than Udinese. Key to watch will be whether Cagliari can maintain their defensive resilience and capitalize on Udinese's current scoring woes, giving them the edge in this crucial encounter.