Serie A 2025-2026: Como vs Bologna Prediction

Como

Home Team
72%
VS

Bologna

Away Team
13%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 14 0 4 40 15 25 42
2 Milan 18 11 6 1 29 14 15 39
3 Napoli 18 12 2 4 28 15 13 38
4 Juventus 19 10 6 3 27 16 11 36
5 Roma 19 12 0 7 22 12 10 36
6 Como 18 9 6 3 26 12 14 33
7 Atalanta 19 7 7 5 23 19 4 28
8 Bologna 18 7 5 6 25 19 6 26
9 Lazio 19 6 7 6 20 16 4 25
10 Udinese 19 7 4 8 20 30 -10 25
11 Sassuolo 19 6 5 8 23 25 -2 23
12 Torino 19 6 5 8 21 30 -9 23
13 Cremonese 19 5 7 7 20 23 -3 22
14 Cagliari 19 4 7 8 21 27 -6 19
15 Parma 18 4 6 8 12 21 -9 18
16 Lecce 18 4 5 9 12 25 -13 17
17 Genoa 19 3 7 9 19 29 -10 16
18 Verona 18 2 7 9 15 30 -15 13
19 Fiorentina 19 2 7 10 20 30 -10 13
20 Pisa 19 1 9 9 13 28 -15 12

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Como

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.72
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.93
# Clean Sheets: 3

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.86
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.38
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Como and Bologna is tipped in favor of the home side, with a 72.0% probability of Como securing victory. The match is also predicted to have under 2.5 goals, with a 45.0% chance of exceeding this mark. Como currently sits in 6th position in the Serie A standings, while Bologna is trailing behind in 8th place.

Match Analysis

Como is coming into this game with an impressive streak, having won their last three matches. Their recent performances include a commanding 3-0 away win against Pisa, a solid 1-0 victory at home against Udinese, and another dominant 3-0 away triumph over Lecce. This run of form has been marked by exceptional defensive solidity, as evidenced by the three consecutive clean sheets. In terms of advanced metrics, Como has averaged 1.6 goals per game over their last five matches while conceding a mere 0.2, highlighting their balanced play on both ends of the pitch. On the other hand, Bologna's recent form has been inconsistent. They suffered defeats to Atalanta and Inter, followed by a draw against Sassuolo. Despite the mixed results, Bologna has managed to score an average of 2.0 goals per game over their last five matches. However, their defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 1.4 goals, and they have failed to keep a clean sheet in these encounters. Their expected goals metrics suggest there are underlying strengths in their attack, but the defense remains a concern.

Final Prediction

Como's recent wins and defensive prowess give them the upper hand in this encounter. Their ability to shut down opponents and capitalize on scoring opportunities makes them a formidable opponent for Bologna. A key factor to watch during the game will be Como's defense, which could prove decisive in maintaining their winning streak and keeping Bologna at bay.