Serie A 2024-2025: Como vs Cagliari Prediction

Como

Home Team
82%
VS

Cagliari

Away Team
8%
Draw: 10%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 35 23 8 4 55 25 30 77
2 Inter 35 22 8 5 73 33 40 74
3 Atalanta 35 20 8 7 71 31 40 68
4 Juventus 35 16 15 4 52 32 20 63
5 Roma 35 18 9 8 50 32 18 63
6 Lazio 35 18 9 8 58 45 13 63
7 Bologna 35 16 14 5 53 38 15 62
8 Fiorentina 35 17 8 10 53 35 18 59
9 Milan 35 16 9 10 55 39 16 57
10 Como 35 12 9 14 45 48 -3 45
11 Torino 35 10 14 11 39 40 -1 44
12 Udinese 35 12 8 15 38 49 -11 44
13 Genoa 35 9 12 14 30 43 -13 39
14 Cagliari 35 8 9 18 36 51 -15 33
15 Verona 35 9 5 21 30 63 -33 32
16 Parma 35 6 14 15 40 54 -14 32
17 Lecce 35 6 9 20 24 57 -33 27
18 Venezia 35 4 14 17 28 49 -21 26
19 Empoli 35 4 13 18 27 55 -28 25
20 Monza 35 2 9 24 25 63 -38 15

Recent Trends

Como ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 3 - 1)

Cagliari ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Empoli (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Como

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.34
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.36
# Clean Sheets: 4

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.94
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.25
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Como and Cagliari is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, Como, with an 82.0% probability of victory. Meanwhile, Cagliari's chances of winning are significantly lower at 8.0%, while a draw stands at 10.0%. This match is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, and a goal is anticipated during the game. In the current Serie A standings, Como holds the 10th position, whereas Cagliari is battling relegation fears in 14th place.

Match Analysis

Como enters this match riding high on a three-game winning streak, showcasing their recent form with victories against Parma, Genoa, and Lecce, all achieved without conceding a single goal. This defensive solidity is underscored by their four clean sheets in the last five matches, reflecting a strong rear-guard action. Offensively, Como averages 1.2 goals per game in their recent outings, aligning closely with their expected goals of 1.342. On the other hand, Cagliari's recent performances have been inconsistent. They managed a win against Verona but faltered against Udinese and Fiorentina. With an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match in the last five games, Cagliari's offensive and defensive metrics suggest vulnerabilities. The team’s expected goals of 0.944 demonstrate a struggle to convert chances, which Como could exploit.

Final Prediction

Como's recent form and defensive resilience provide them with a considerable edge over Cagliari in this encounter. The team's ability to keep clean sheets and capitalize on scoring opportunities makes them favorites to extend their winning streak. A key factor to watch will be Como's defense, which could be pivotal in securing another shutout against a Cagliari side struggling to find the back of the net.